TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 02d:19h:55m
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of these contracts directly reflects the implied probability of XRP being above the specified price on November 5. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe the event will occur, the higher the contract price, and vice versa. This creates a dynamic pricing system driven by supply and demand, offering a real-time assessment of market sentiment.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the XRP price as reported by a widely recognized and trusted financial data source at a specific time on November 5. The precise price used for resolution will be determined by Polymarket’s standard procedures for verifying market outcomes, ensuring a fair and transparent process for all participants.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before Nov 5, 2026. Major news regarding regulatory developments concerning XRP, such as SEC rulings or favorable legal decisions, could drive the price upwards. Conversely, negative news, like unfavorable court outcomes or increased regulatory scrutiny, could push it down. Broader market trends in the cryptocurrency space, including Bitcoin’s performance and overall investor sentiment, will also play a role. Unexpected announcements from Ripple Labs, the company behind XRP, could also move the market.