TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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XRP above ___ on November 5?
polymarket

Will XRP be above the price on November 5?

Oct 29, 2026, 12:00 PM EST - Nov 5, 2026, 12:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$9
Volume 24h:
$0N/A
Liquidity:
$94,344
2%
Open interest:
$9N/A

1.30

 - Polymarket

1.30 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 5, 2026

Time left: 02d:19h:55m

Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on November 5?

19%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 22¢ buys you 455 shares | Odds: 19% Total Payout: $455 | Net Profit: $355 Multiplier: 4.55x | ROI: 355% APY not meaningful 2 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

1.30

Trade
19%
4%
Yes 22¢No 84¢
6¢
$8,874
$9
0%
N/A
N/A
2d 19h 55m
Active
polymarket

0.80

99%
Yes 99.9¢No 2.9¢
2.8¢
$8,990
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 19h 55m
Active
polymarket

0.90

99%
Yes 99.9¢No 2.9¢
2.8¢
$11,201
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 19h 55m
Active
polymarket

1.00

99%
Yes 99.9¢No 2.9¢
2.8¢
$8,960
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 19h 55m
Active
polymarket

1.10

98%
2%
Yes 99.6¢No 3.4¢
3¢
$9,337
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 19h 55m
Active
polymarket

1.20

79%
Yes 82¢No 24¢
6¢
$9,018
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 19h 55m
Active
polymarket

1.40

2%
2%
Yes 3.8¢No 99.4¢
3.2¢
$8,658
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 19h 55m
Active
polymarket

1.50

2%
Yes 2.9¢No 99.9¢
2.8¢
$8,872
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 19h 55m
Active
polymarket

1.60

2%
Yes 2.9¢No 99.9¢
2.8¢
$9,005
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 19h 55m
Active
polymarket

1.70

2%
Yes 2.9¢No 99.9¢
2.8¢
$430
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 19h 55m
Active
polymarket

1.80

2%
Yes 2.9¢No 99.9¢
2.8¢
$10,999
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 19h 55m
Active
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Frequently asked questions

Currently, prediction market odds reflect what traders believe is the likelihood of the XRP price exceeding a specific threshold on November 5. This differs from simply looking at current spot prices or analyst predictions, as this market represents a collective forecast based on real money at stake. While spot prices indicate the present value, this market incorporates expectations about future events and potential catalysts that could influence the XRP price by Nov 5, 2026. The market aggregates diverse perspectives into a single probability.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of these contracts directly reflects the implied probability of XRP being above the specified price on November 5. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe the event will occur, the higher the contract price, and vice versa. This creates a dynamic pricing system driven by supply and demand, offering a real-time assessment of market sentiment.

This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the XRP price as reported by a widely recognized and trusted financial data source at a specific time on November 5. The precise price used for resolution will be determined by Polymarket’s standard procedures for verifying market outcomes, ensuring a fair and transparent process for all participants.

Several factors could significantly impact this market before Nov 5, 2026. Major news regarding regulatory developments concerning XRP, such as SEC rulings or favorable legal decisions, could drive the price upwards. Conversely, negative news, like unfavorable court outcomes or increased regulatory scrutiny, could push it down. Broader market trends in the cryptocurrency space, including Bitcoin’s performance and overall investor sentiment, will also play a role. Unexpected announcements from Ripple Labs, the company behind XRP, could also move the market.