TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

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VS.

Kalshi:

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XRP above ___ on November 4?
⌛Ending Soon
polymarket

Will XRP be above the price on November 4?

Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 PM EST - Nov 4, 2026, 12:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$1,387
Volume 24h:
$1,076
1,243%
Liquidity:
$104,832
7%
Open interest:
$1,380N/A

1.10

 - Polymarket

1.10 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 4, 2026

Time left: 01d:16h:42m

Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on November 4?

99%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 99¢ buys you 101 shares | Odds: 99% Total Payout: $101 | Net Profit: $1 Multiplier: 1.01x | ROI: 1% High Projected APY: 3,817%
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

1.10

Trade
99%
1%
Yes 99¢No 1.6¢
0.6¢
$10,133
$111
0%
N/A
N/A
1d 16h 42m
Active
polymarket

1.00

Trade
98%
Yes 99.8¢No 3¢
2.8¢
$8,818
$36
0%
N/A
N/A
1d 16h 42m
Active
polymarket

1.20

Trade
86%
7%
Yes 87¢No 16¢
3¢
$9,692
$46
16%
N/A
N/A
1d 16h 42m
Active
polymarket

1.30

Trade
16%
8%
Yes 18¢No 87¢
5¢
$9,741
$47
0%
N/A
N/A
1d 16h 42m
Active
polymarket

1.40

Trade
3%
1%
Yes 4.2¢No 98.9¢
3.1¢
$10,051
$1,059
959%
N/A
N/A
1d 16h 42m
Active
polymarket

1.50

Trade
2%
Yes 3¢No 99.7¢
2.7¢
$9,043
$88
0%
N/A
N/A
1d 16h 42m
Active
polymarket

0.80

Trade
99%
Yes 99.9¢No 2.9¢
2.8¢
$9,002
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 16h 42m
Active
polymarket

0.90

Trade
99%
1%
Yes 99.8¢No 1.7¢
1.5¢
$11,226
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 16h 42m
Active
polymarket

1.60

Trade
2%
Yes 2.8¢No 99.8¢
2.6¢
$9,057
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 16h 42m
Active
polymarket

1.70

Trade
1%
Yes 2.8¢No 99.9¢
2.7¢
$8,891
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 16h 42m
Active
polymarket

1.80

Trade
1%
Yes 2.8¢No 99.9¢
2.7¢
$9,177
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 16h 42m
Active
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the XRP price on November 4 tracks the current implied probability of XRP being above a specific price point, alongside the associated trading volume. You’ll find a visual representation of how the market is pricing this outcome, as well as the 24-hour volume, which currently stands at $1,076. The total volume traded on this market is $1,387, indicating the level of interest and participation. This allows users to quickly assess market sentiment and activity related to the future price of XRP.

Currently, prediction market odds reflect a strong belief regarding the XRP price on November 4. These probabilities, as expressed through trading on Polymarket, can be compared to expectations derived from traditional financial analysis or polling data. If analysts predict a high probability of XRP exceeding a certain level, we would expect to see corresponding high probabilities reflected in this market. However, prediction markets often incorporate information and perspectives not readily available in conventional forecasts, potentially leading to differing viewpoints on the likely outcome.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the XRP price will be above a certain threshold on November 4. The price of these contracts directly reflects the market’s collective probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe the price will be above the threshold, the higher the contract price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market efficiently incorporates new information and adjusts expectations accordingly.

This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the XRP price at a specific time on November 4, as determined by a widely recognized and publicly available data source. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on whether their predictions aligned with the actual outcome. The platform will handle the distribution of funds based on the final verified price.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Nov 4, 2026. Major news regarding regulatory developments impacting XRP, significant partnerships announced by Ripple, or substantial shifts in broader cryptocurrency market sentiment could all influence trader behavior. Unexpected macroeconomic data releases or geopolitical events could also indirectly affect the price of XRP and, consequently, the odds in this market. Furthermore, any technical developments or vulnerabilities discovered in the XRP network could introduce volatility and impact trading activity.