TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
0.80
- Polymarket
0.80 - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 3, 2026
Time left: 16h:42m:30s
$
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Currently, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to typical spot price expectations for XRP. While traditional financial analysis relies on technical indicators and market sentiment, this market aggregates the collective wisdom of traders who are putting capital behind their beliefs about the future price. If a significant discrepancy exists between the implied probability on Polymarket and analyst forecasts, it suggests a difference in how the community perceives the likelihood of XRP reaching a specific price by Nov 3, 2026. This can be valuable for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the XRP price will be above a certain level on November 3, 2026. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the evolving consensus of market participants. Higher demand for contracts indicating XRP will be above the price point drives up the price, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date expectations.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the XRP price at 17:00:00 UTC on November 3, 2026, is verified against credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on data from a widely recognized and trusted source for cryptocurrency pricing. The market will then pay out to those who correctly predicted the outcome, based on the odds at the time of resolution. Traders should monitor the market closely as the resolution date approaches to understand the potential payout scenarios.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Nov 3, 2026. Major regulatory announcements concerning XRP or the broader cryptocurrency market could have a substantial impact. Significant technological developments related to the XRP Ledger, such as upgrades or partnerships, could also shift trader sentiment. Macroeconomic factors, like changes in interest rates or inflation, could influence risk appetite and affect the price of XRP. Unexpected news regarding Ripple Labs, the company behind XRP, could also cause volatility in this market.