TOTAL VOLUME:
$155b
24H VOL:
$291,703,288
24H TRANSACTIONS:
3,001,463,625
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,957,545,529
414,484
Markets across
39,701
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,434
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 12:13 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Currently, prediction market odds offer a unique perspective compared to traditional spot price expectations for XRP. While spot markets reflect immediate supply and demand, this market aggregates the informed beliefs of traders specifically focused on the price on November 1. If the odds heavily favor XRP being above a specific level, it suggests a stronger collective conviction than might be apparent in current spot prices. Discrepancies can arise due to differing time horizons, risk assessments, and access to information among traders and the broader market.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the closing price of XRP on November 1, as reported by a widely recognized and trusted financial data source. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of whether the XRP price meets the conditions defined by the market. Traders will then receive payouts based on their holdings and the final outcome.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Nov 1, 2026. Major news regarding regulatory developments concerning XRP, such as SEC rulings or favorable legislation, would likely have a substantial impact. Significant adoption of XRP by institutions or major corporations could also drive up the price and shift market sentiment. Unexpected macroeconomic events, like shifts in interest rates or global economic downturns, could also influence investor behavior and the perceived value of XRP. Keep an eye on these factors as they unfold, as they will likely be reflected in the trading activity and odds on Polymarket.