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$99,401,033

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1,362,287,844

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$1,177,208,320

335,484

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What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?
Crypto
kalshi
polymarket

What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?

Nov 24, 2025, 2:27 PM EST - Jan 1, 2027, 12:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$15,082,283
Volume 24h:
$804,225
560%
Liquidity:
$1,596,028
12%
Open interest:
$670,861
0.4%

↑ 2,750

 - Polymarket

↑ 2,750 - Polymarket

77%

+24.5%

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Aug 20

Aug 21

Aug 22

Aug 23

Aug 24

Aug 25

Aug 27

Vol.

$17.7k

·

Resolves Jan 1, 2027

Will Ethereum reach $2,750 by December 31, 2026?

76%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 77¢ buys you 130 shares | Odds: 76% Total Payout: $130 | Net Profit: $30 Multiplier: 1.30x | ROI: 30% | APY: 112% 127 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
MUI X License key version mismatch
Total markets: 25 of 38

Description

This event group aggregates multiple price-level prediction markets for Ethereum across 2026, asking whether ETH will touch specific price points (upside targets ranging $3,500–$10,000 or downside floors ranging $800–$2,500) by year-end. Polymarket uses intraday Binance 1-minute candle extremes (High/Low) as the trigger mechanism, while Kalshi uses a single spot price snapshot at Jan 1, 2027 midnight—creating a fundamental settlement methodology divergence.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket uses intraday price extremes (High/Low from 1-minute candles) with a touch-any-time resolution logic, while Kalshi uses a single spot price snapshot at a specific moment (Jan 1, 2027 12:00 AM). This creates fundamentally different settlement conditions: Polymarket YES if the price ever touches the threshold during the window; Kalshi YES only if the price is above the threshold at the exact snapshot time.Hero tip: If you believe Ethereum will spike above a price level but may not hold it, Polymarket offers better odds because a single touch resolves YES. On Kalshi, you need the price to be above the threshold at the exact Jan 1, 2027 midnight snapshot—a brief spike won't help. For downside (dip) markets, Polymarket requires a touch of the low; Kalshi has no downside markets, only upside thresholds.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves YES if Ethereum/USDT on Binance 1-minute candles touches the specified price (High for upside, Low for downside) at any point between November 24, 2025 14:00 ET and December 31, 2026 23:59 ET. Quote: 'This market will immediately resolve to YES if any Binance 1-minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT)...has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified.' Touch-any-time logic; includes downside dip markets ($800, $1,000, $1,500, $2,000, $2,500).
  • Kalshi: Resolves YES if Ethereum spot price in U.S. dollars is above the specified threshold at exactly January 1, 2027 12:00 AM. Quote: 'If the spot price of Ethereum in U.S. dollars is above [threshold] by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM, then the market resolves to Yes.' Point-in-time snapshot logic; only upside thresholds ($3,500 to $6,000); no downside markets.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Show more

Polymarket

What price will Ethereum hit before 2027?

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the CF Ethereum Real-Time Index (ETHUSD_RTI) measured from market issuance through January 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM ET. The resolution price is calculated using a trimmed mean methodology: all minute-by-minute ETHUSD_RTI values during the measurement period are collected, the top 20% and bottom 20% of values are excluded, and the remaining 60% are averaged. Each outcome resolves to Yes if the trimmed mean price reaches or exceeds its specified threshold. If no data is available at expiration, all outcomes resolve to No. Price data from CF Benchmarks is considered authoritative, and any revisions made after expiration do not affect market resolution.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard aggregates real-time odds and trading volume for Ethereum's 2026 price across multiple prediction platforms, including Polymarket and Kalshi. It consolidates outcomes such as whether Ethereum will reach specific price thresholds by year-end 2026, giving traders a unified view of market consensus. Total group volume across all tracked outcomes stands at $14,610,591, with $817,590 traded in the last 24 hours. This cross-platform snapshot helps participants compare conviction levels and liquidity across venues before placing their own positions.

Prediction market odds reflect collective trader beliefs about Ethereum's 2026 price, which may diverge from current spot prices due to time horizon, volatility expectations, and risk premiums. Markets price in both bullish and bearish scenarios; some outcomes show strong conviction while others remain uncertain. The aggregated volume of $14,610,591 indicates substantial interest in this event. Comparing these odds to today's spot price reveals whether the market expects appreciation, depreciation, or range-bound trading over the next two years, accounting for macroeconomic shifts and on-chain developments.

Polymarket and Kalshi may show different implied probabilities for the same Ethereum price outcome due to distinct user bases, liquidity pools, and market-making strategies. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Regulatory frameworks, fee structures, and order-flow patterns also influence pricing. Polymarket currently shows 76.0% chance for its top outcome, while Kalshi shows 28.0%, a spread of 48.0 percentage points. These gaps create arbitrage opportunities and reflect how fragmented prediction markets remain across geographies and trading styles.

Major catalysts include Ethereum protocol upgrades, shifts in institutional adoption, regulatory clarity or crackdowns, macroeconomic cycles, and Bitcoin price movements. Staking yield changes, layer-2 scaling success, and competition from other smart-contract platforms also influence sentiment. Geopolitical events, central bank policy, and tech sector valuations ripple into crypto markets. Large liquidations or whale accumulation can trigger sharp repricing. With Jan 1, 2027 still distant, traders should monitor on-chain metrics, developer activity, and broader market structure to adjust positions as conviction levels change.