TOTAL VOLUME:

$142.3b

24H VOL:

$107,419,736

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,643,541,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,594,026,835

471,138

Markets across

35,775

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,926

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
kalshi

Bitcoin price at the end of 2026

Feb 25, 2026, 6:25 PM EST - Jan 1, 2027, 12:05 AM EST
Total volume:
$41,635,246
Volume 24h:
$216,841
32%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$10,562,378
0.54%

75,000 to 79,999.99

 - Kalshi

75,000 to 79,999.99 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 1, 2027

BTC price on Jan 1, 2027?

14%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 14.1¢ buys you 709 shares | Odds: 14% Total Payout: $709 | Net Profit: $609 Multiplier: 7.09x | ROI: 609% APY not meaningful 78 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

75,000 to 79,999.99

Trade
14%
1%
Yes 14.1¢No 86¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,065,008
0.51%
5%
$279,510
2mo 2w 4d
active
kalshi

80,000 to 84,999.99

Trade
14%
Yes 14.1¢No 86.2¢
0.3¢
N/A
$2,902,680
0.36%
7%
$302,938
2mo 2w 4d
active
kalshi

85,000 to 89,999.99

Trade
12%
Yes 11.4¢No 88.8¢
0.2¢
N/A
$2,280,224
0.18%
3%
$318,411
2mo 2w 4d
active
kalshi

70,000 to 74,999.99

Trade
10%
1%
Yes 10.4¢No 89.8¢
0.2¢
N/A
$2,499,793
0.12%
0.62%
$280,719
2mo 2w 4d
active
kalshi

90,000 to 94,999.99

Trade
8%
1%
Yes 8.1¢No 92¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,417,205
0.32%
2%
$358,221
2mo 2w 4d
active
kalshi

95,000 to 99,999.99

Trade
7%
1%
Yes 6.5¢No 93.6¢
0.1¢
N/A
$854,561
0.76%
4%
$381,376
2mo 2w 4d
active
kalshi

65,000 to 69,999.99

Trade
6%
Yes 5.9¢No 94.2¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,487,674
0.22%
2%
$323,548
2mo 2w 4d
active
kalshi

100,000 to 104,999.99

Trade
4%
1%
Yes 4.2¢No 96¢
0.2¢
N/A
$997,541
0.4%
4%
$381,477
2mo 2w 4d
active
kalshi

60,000 to 64,999.99

Trade
4%
Yes 3.8¢No 96.3¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,445,081
0.26%
1%
$374,098
2mo 2w 4d
active
kalshi

105,000 to 109,999.99

Trade
3%
Yes 3.2¢No 96.9¢
0.1¢
N/A
$685,478
0.55%
3%
$347,353
2mo 2w 4d
active
kalshi

55,000 to 59,999.99

Trade
2%
Yes 2¢No 98.3¢
0.3¢
N/A
$2,388,136
0.22%
0.8%
$369,925
2mo 2w 4d
active
kalshi

45,000 to 49,999.99

Trade
2%
Yes 1.6¢No 98.5¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,654,319
0.47%
2%
$441,620
2mo 2w 4d
active
kalshi

110,000 to 114,999.99

Trade
2%
Yes 1.8¢No 98.3¢
0.1¢
N/A
$647,231
2%
3%
$348,193
2mo 2w 4d
active
kalshi

115,000 to 119,999.99

Trade
2%
Yes 1.5¢No 98.6¢
0.1¢
N/A
$552,611
0.86%
2%
$339,018
2mo 2w 4d
active
kalshi

50,000 to 54,999.99

Trade
1%
Yes 1.4¢No 98.7¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,534,051
0.32%
1%
$399,317
2mo 2w 4d
active
kalshi

150,000 or above

Trade
1%
Yes 1.3¢No 98.8¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,156,332
0.32%
0.59%
$486,050
2mo 2w 4d
active
kalshi

40,000 to 44,999.99

Trade
1%
Yes 1.1¢No 99¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,884,812
0.41%
1%
$452,141
2mo 2w 4d
active
kalshi

120,000 to 124,999.99

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 99.1¢
0.1¢
N/A
$680,815
0.5%
3%
$398,488
2mo 2w 4d
active
kalshi

125,000 to 129,999.99

Trade
1%
Yes 0.9¢No 99.2¢
0.1¢
N/A
$596,866
0.74%
2%
$388,854
2mo 2w 4d
active
kalshi

19,999.99 or below

Trade
1%
Yes 0.8¢No 99.3¢
0.1¢
N/A
$812,458
1%
5%
$395,984
2mo 2w 4d
active
kalshi

35,000 to 39,999.99

Trade
1%
Yes 0.7¢No 99.4¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,790,153
0.79%
2%
$440,760
2mo 2w 4d
active
kalshi

30,000 to 34,999.99

Trade
1%
Yes 0.6¢No 99.5¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,071,538
2%
5%
$415,483
2mo 2w 4d
active
kalshi

20,000 to 24,999.99

Trade
1%
Yes 0.5¢No 99.7¢
0.2¢
N/A
$1,006,334
1%
5%
$403,331
2mo 2w 4d
active
kalshi

130,000 to 134,999.99

Trade
1%
Yes 0.6¢No 99.5¢
0.1¢
N/A
$559,673
1%
3%
$382,456
2mo 2w 4d
active
kalshi

25,000 to 29,999.99

Trade
1%
Yes 0.5¢No 99.6¢
0.1¢
N/A
$823,674
0.77%
9%
$391,326
2mo 2w 4d
active
Total markets: 25 of 28

Description

This event concerns the price of Bitcoin in US dollars as measured by CF Benchmarks' BRTI index at the start of 2027, tracking where the cryptocurrency's value falls within various price ranges.

Kalshi

Resolution occurs at 12:00 AM EST on January 1, 2027 using CF Benchmarks' BRTI (Bitcoin Real Time Index). The official price is calculated as the simple average of sixty individual RTI price points collected during the final minute before expiration. Each outcome represents a specific price range, and exactly one resolves to Yes based on where the averaged price falls. Ranges span from below $20,000 to above $150,000, with $5,000 increments throughout, allowing precise price level prediction.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Bitcoin end-of-year price market displays the current implied probabilities for various price ranges at the end of 2026. You can view the trading volume, which currently stands at $41,635,246, and the 24-hour volume, at $210,915. The dashboard also shows the price associated with the most probable outcome, currently estimated at a 14.1% chance. This allows traders to quickly assess market sentiment and identify potential trading opportunities within this market.

Currently, prediction market odds reflect a range of expectations for the Bitcoin price at the end of 2026. These expectations are often different than those found in traditional polls or analyst forecasts. While many analysts predict continued growth, this market incorporates the collective wisdom of traders who are putting capital at risk, potentially offering a more realistic assessment of potential price movements. It’s important to note that prediction markets aren't simply mirroring spot prices; they represent beliefs about future values.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders can buy and sell contracts representing different Bitcoin price levels. The prices of these contracts fluctuate based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract indicates the probability of Bitcoin reaching or exceeding that price by the resolution date. Higher demand for a particular price level drives up its contract price, signaling increased confidence in that outcome.

This market resolves around Jan 1, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the Bitcoin price is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final price will be determined by a widely recognized and publicly available source for Bitcoin pricing data. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their predictions align with the actual Bitcoin price at the time of resolution. The market’s outcome is based on the price of Bitcoin on January 1, 2027, as reported by a trusted source.

Several signals or events could significantly impact this market. Major regulatory decisions regarding cryptocurrency, particularly in the United States and other key economies, could cause substantial price swings. Unexpected macroeconomic events, such as shifts in interest rates or inflation, could also influence investor sentiment towards Bitcoin. Furthermore, technological developments related to Bitcoin, like upgrades to the blockchain or the emergence of competing cryptocurrencies, could move this market. Finally, significant news events impacting the broader financial markets could also affect the price of Bitcoin and, therefore, this market.