TOTAL VOLUME:

$54.6b

24H VOL:

$283,259,638

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,235,549,422

505,521

Markets across

13,661

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

1,892

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

Polymarket:

51%

VS.

Kalshi:

49%

BETA

Dashboards

Trending

Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Name: Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Start: 2025-09-30T17:29:40.007Z
End: 2027-01-01T05:00:00.000Z

Sep 30, 2025, 1:29 PM EST - Jan 1, 2027, 12:00 AM EST

Total volume:

$26,760,231

Volume 24h:

$17,720

158%

Liquidity:

$1,188,514

46%

Open interest:

$14,453

0.35%

Markets

Outcome

Chance %

Price

Liquidity

Volume

24h

Open Interest

Ends in

Result

Trade

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Opensea's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Opensea doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue:

Timing mismatch (10:00 AM UTC vs 4:00 PM ET, ~6 hour gap) and source specification divergence (CoinGecko vs most liquid source). Both are resolvable but create potential for different outcomes on the same event.

Hero Tip:

If trading across platforms, be aware that Kalshi resolves 6 hours earlier using CoinGecko, while Limitless, Polymarket, and Predict resolve later using the most liquid available source. FDV can move significantly in that window. Kalshi's deterministic source is lower-risk; other platforms introduce discretionary source selection.

Critical Divergence Points:

Kalshi: Resolves at exactly 10:00 AM UTC on day +1 using CoinGecko FDV snapshot. Offers 6 distinct threshold markets: $2B, $5B, $8B, $10B, $12B, $15B. Source is explicitly CoinGecko with no fallback specified.
Limitless: Resolves at 4:00 PM ET on day +1 using the most liquid price source available (unspecified). Single threshold market: $1B. Includes hard deadline: if no token launch by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, resolves No.
Polymarket: Resolves at 4:00 PM ET on day +1 using the most liquid price source available (unspecified). Offers 8 distinct threshold markets: $100M, $300M, $500M, $1B, $2B, $3B, $5B. Same hard deadline as Limitless: December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET.
Predict: Resolves at 4:00 PM ET on day +1 using the most liquid price source available (unspecified). Offers 5 distinct threshold markets: $500M, $1B, $2B, $3B, $5B. Same hard deadline: December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET.

Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

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PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.