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Will Walmart (WMT) beat quarterly earnings?
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Will Walmart (WMT) beat quarterly earnings?

Volume:
$5,545

Will Walmart (WMT) beat quarterly earnings?

 - Polymarket

Will Walmart (WMT) beat quarterly earnings? - Polymarket

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Resolved Aug 20, 2026

Closed: Aug 20, 9:02 AM EST

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Will Walmart (WMT) beat quarterly earnings?

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100%
25%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,545
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

As of market creation, Walmart is estimated to release earnings on August 20, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Walmart’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.74 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Walmart reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $0.74 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If Walmart releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. If no GAAP EPS number is available from either source at that time, the market will resolve to “No.” (For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless it is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.) If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced non-GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024). Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for non-GAAP EPS. Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS. Note: If multiple versions of non-GAAP EPS are published, the market will resolve according to the primary headline non-GAAP EPS number, which is typically presented on a diluted basis. If diluted is not published, then basic non-GAAP EPS will qualify. Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated. Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.

Polymarket

As of market creation, Walmart is estimated to release earnings on August 20, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Walmart’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.74 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Walmart reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $0.74 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If Walmart releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. If no GAAP EPS number is available from either source at that time, the market will resolve to “No.” (For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless it is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.) If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced non-GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024). Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for non-GAAP EPS. Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS. Note: If multiple versions of non-GAAP EPS are published, the market will resolve according to the primary headline non-GAAP EPS number, which is typically presented on a diluted basis. If diluted is not published, then basic non-GAAP EPS will qualify. Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated. Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, this dashboard tracks the real-time odds and price movements for the Walmart earnings beat market. It shows how traders are betting on whether Walmart will exceed analyst expectations in its upcoming quarterly results. The page also displays current volume of $5,545 and 24-hour volume of $2,199, giving you insight into market activity and liquidity around this event.

Currently, this market reflects trader expectations that differ from many analyst forecasts. While analysts may lean toward or against a beat, the odds here incorporate real-time betting activity and can shift quickly based on new earnings whispers, macro data, or sector trends. Comparing this market to analyst consensus offers a view of where retail sentiment diverges from institutional outlooks.

This market resolves around Aug 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will depend on the official quarterly earnings release and whether Walmart’s reported earnings per share exceed analyst estimates, as confirmed by reputable financial news sources.

Several signals could shift odds in this market before Aug 20, 2026. Key catalysts include Walmart’s official earnings release, analyst reactions, and forward guidance on future performance. Major economic reports, supply chain updates, or unexpected leadership changes could also influence trader sentiment. As the resolution date approaches, any last-minute news or market rumors will likely cause rapid price swings.