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Will Texas Roadhouse (TXRH) beat quarterly earnings?
polymarket

Will Texas Roadhouse (TXRH) beat quarterly earnings?

Oct 16, 2026, 12:53 PM EST - Nov 5, 2026, 5:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$457
Volume 24h:
$0N/A
Liquidity:
$355
73%
Open interest:
$99N/A

Will Texas Roadhouse (TXRH) beat quarterly earnings?

 - Polymarket

Will Texas Roadhouse (TXRH) beat quarterly earnings? - Polymarket

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Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 5, 2026

Time left: 02d:19h:23m

Will Texas Roadhouse (TXRH) beat quarterly earnings?

30%chance
Amount

$

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At 35¢ buys you 286 shares | Odds: 30% Total Payout: $286 | Net Profit: $186 Multiplier: 2.86x | ROI: 186% APY not meaningful Low liquidity 2 days to resolution
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Will Texas Roadhouse (TXRH) beat quarterly earnings?

Trade
30%
7%
Yes 35¢No 76¢
11¢
$355
$457
0%
0%
N/A
2d 19h 23m
Active
Total markets: 1

Description

As of market creation, Texas Roadhouse is estimated to release earnings on November 5, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Texas Roadhouse's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $1.52 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Texas Roadhouse reports GAAP EPS greater than $1.52 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If Texas Roadhouse releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”. If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024). Note: The strike prices used in these markets reflect the selected street consensus estimate for GAAP EPS as of market creation. Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS. Note: GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS. Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated. Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.

Polymarket

As of market creation, Texas Roadhouse is estimated to release earnings on November 5, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Texas Roadhouse's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $1.52 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Texas Roadhouse reports GAAP EPS greater than $1.52 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If Texas Roadhouse releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”. If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024). Note: The strike prices used in these markets reflect the selected street consensus estimate for GAAP EPS as of market creation. Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS. Note: GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS. Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated. Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Texas Roadhouse earnings market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. Currently, the volume is $0 and the total volume is $457. You can see how the implied probability of Texas Roadhouse beating quarterly earnings changes over time, reflecting the collective predictions of traders on Polymarket. This allows you to gauge market sentiment and track shifts in expectations leading up to the earnings release. The dashboard provides a real-time view of the market's activity.

Currently, prediction market participants are signaling a strong belief that Texas Roadhouse will beat quarterly earnings. This contrasts with traditional analyst forecasts, which often present a range of expectations. While analysts may offer varying opinions, this market provides a single, aggregated prediction based on real money at stake. It’s important to note that prediction markets can sometimes offer a more accurate forecast than polls or individual analyst opinions, as traders have a financial incentive to be correct. The collective wisdom reflected in this market offers a unique perspective.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about whether Texas Roadhouse will beat quarterly earnings. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand, meaning that if more people believe Texas Roadhouse will succeed, the price of 'yes' shares will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the latest information and sentiment.

This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on whether Texas Roadhouse reports quarterly earnings that exceed analyst expectations, as reported by a widely recognized financial news source. The market will then determine if the company beat expectations, and payouts will be distributed accordingly. Traders should monitor official earnings releases to understand how this market will be settled.

Several signals could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding Texas Roadhouse's sales performance, such as preliminary reports or changes in foot traffic, could impact trader sentiment. Broader economic indicators, like consumer spending data or restaurant industry trends, could also play a role. Unexpected news about rising food costs or labor shortages could negatively affect expectations. Finally, any revisions to analyst estimates for Texas Roadhouse’s earnings could trigger shifts in the price of shares in this market.