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Will Tesla (TSLA) close above ___ end of August?
polymarket

Will Tesla (TSLA) close above ___ end of August?

Volume:
$6,564

$350

 - Polymarket

$350 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 31, 2026

Closed: Aug 31, 4:28 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$350

View
100%
8%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,294
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$360

100%
51%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,613
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$260

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$632
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$340

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$269
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$270

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$267
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$250

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$255
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$290

100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$157
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$300

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$146
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$280

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$137
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$310

100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$97
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$320

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$47
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$330

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$47
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$370

0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$603
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 13

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on the final trading day of August 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the month, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on the final trading day of August 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the month, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, this dashboard tracks the latest odds and price history for the Tesla August price market, along with 24-hour volume of $5,056. It shows how traders on Polymarket are pricing the likelihood that Tesla's closing price will end above a specific threshold by the end of August, offering a real-time view of market sentiment and trading activity.

Currently, this market shows a strong tilt toward Tesla closing above the target level, with implied odds reflecting a high probability. This contrasts with some analyst forecasts, which may present a more balanced or cautious outlook. Investors often watch this market as a signal of crowd-sourced expectations, sometimes diverging from traditional equity research, especially around key dates or earnings reports.

This market resolves around Aug 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Traders will see the market settle based on the confirmed closing price of Tesla at the end of August, eliminating any ambiguity about the result.

Several factors may influence this market before Aug 31, 2026. Tesla's earnings reports, broader market trends, and macroeconomic indicators could shift expectations. Technical developments like product launches or regulatory updates may also affect investor sentiment. Geopolitical events and sector-wide volatility can impact automakers, including Tesla, causing rapid changes in trading odds as new information emerges.