TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$277,138,640

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,905,404,943

412,077

Markets across

39,838

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,526

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by...?
predict

Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by...?

Volume:
$3,675

October 31

 - Predict

October 31 - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 11, 2026

Closed: Oct 11, 2:33 AM EST

predict

Predict

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
predict

October 31

View
99%
48%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$0
$2,585
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

October 15

View
87%
Yes 87¢No 13¢
—
$24
$1,091
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 2

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceXAI officially changes its name to "SpaceXSI", "XSI", or another qualifying name by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying name is one that refers to intelligence as "SI" in place of "AI" (e.g., "SpaceXSI", "SpaceX SI", "XSI"). Stylizations of a qualifying name, or a qualifying name followed by a corporate suffix, will qualify. Renaming either SpaceXAI or its parent company, SpaceX, to a qualifying name will qualify. SpaceXAI must announce that they have officially changed to a qualifying name by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Announcements of future intention will not qualify. An official announcement that the name change has been adopted will qualify even if the company's website, documents, or other materials have not yet been updated. Adopting a qualifying name as the company's name on its official website will also qualify. Statements, interviews, social media posts, polls, jokes, or expressions of interest in renaming the company will not qualify unless accompanied by an official announcement that the name change has been adopted. Renaming any SpaceXAI or SpaceX product, model, division, subsidiary, or program (e.g., Grok, X), without renaming the company itself, will not qualify. Changes to SpaceXAI's listed name caused by hacks will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, SpaceX, or their representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Predict

This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceXAI officially changes its name to "SpaceXSI", "XSI", or another qualifying name by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying name is one that refers to intelligence as "SI" in place of "AI" (e.g., "SpaceXSI", "SpaceX SI", "XSI"). Stylizations of a qualifying name, or a qualifying name followed by a corporate suffix, will qualify. Renaming either SpaceXAI or its parent company, SpaceX, to a qualifying name will qualify. SpaceXAI must announce that they have officially changed to a qualifying name by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Announcements of future intention will not qualify. An official announcement that the name change has been adopted will qualify even if the company's website, documents, or other materials have not yet been updated. Adopting a qualifying name as the company's name on its official website will also qualify. Statements, interviews, social media posts, polls, jokes, or expressions of interest in renaming the company will not qualify unless accompanied by an official announcement that the name change has been adopted. Renaming any SpaceXAI or SpaceX product, model, division, subsidiary, or program (e.g., Grok, X), without renaming the company itself, will not qualify. Changes to SpaceXAI's listed name caused by hacks will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, SpaceX, or their representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the SpaceX name change market tracks the current odds of a renaming occurring by the resolution date, along with a price history chart showing how those odds have shifted over time. You can also see the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $2,435, and the total volume traded to date, which is $3,675. This provides a clear visualization of market sentiment and activity surrounding the potential rebranding of SpaceX.

Currently, the prevailing sentiment in this market suggests a different outcome than many analyst forecasts. While some industry observers believe a name change is unlikely in the near term, traders on Predict are assigning a notable probability to the event occurring. This divergence highlights how prediction markets can aggregate diverse perspectives and potentially offer a more accurate forecast than traditional analysis, especially when considering the complex factors influencing a company’s branding decisions. It's important to note that this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders, not expert opinion.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous exchange where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the likelihood of the event. The price of these contracts directly reflects the implied probability of a successful name change. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts as new information emerges and traders update their assessments. Higher demand for contracts indicating a ‘yes’ outcome will drive up the price, and vice versa, providing a real-time indication of market sentiment.

This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will consider whether SpaceX has officially announced a formal name change to SpaceXSI (or any other officially registered variation) before the resolution date. Any announcement must be publicly available and verifiable through reliable news sources or official company statements to be considered valid for determining the outcome of this market.

Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any official statements from SpaceX leadership regarding a potential rebranding would be a major catalyst. Unexpected developments related to the company’s AI division, such as a major product launch or strategic partnership, could also shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, broader industry trends in AI company naming conventions or regulatory changes impacting corporate branding could influence the perceived likelihood of a name change and, consequently, the price action in this market.