TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by...?
polymarket

Will SpaceXAI rename itself to SpaceXSI?

Volume:
$114,674

October 15

 - Polymarket

October 15 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 11, 2026

Closed: Oct 11, 2:22 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

October 15

View
100%
66%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$71,697
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

October 31

View
100%
39%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$42,977
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 2

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceXAI officially changes its name to "SpaceXSI", "XSI", or another qualifying name by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying name is one that refers to intelligence as "SI" in place of "AI" (e.g., "SpaceXSI", "SpaceX SI", "XSI"). Stylizations of a qualifying name, or a qualifying name followed by a corporate suffix, will qualify. Renaming either SpaceXAI or its parent company, SpaceX, to a qualifying name will qualify. SpaceXAI must announce that they have officially changed to a qualifying name by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Announcements of future intention will not qualify. An official announcement that the name change has been adopted will qualify even if the company's website, documents, or other materials have not yet been updated. Adopting a qualifying name as the company's name on its official website will also qualify. Statements, interviews, social media posts, polls, jokes, or expressions of interest in renaming the company will not qualify unless accompanied by an official announcement that the name change has been adopted. Renaming any SpaceXAI or SpaceX product, model, division, subsidiary, or program (e.g., Grok, X), without renaming the company itself, will not qualify. Changes to SpaceXAI's listed name caused by hacks will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, SpaceX, or their representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceXAI officially changes its name to "SpaceXSI", "XSI", or another qualifying name by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying name is one that refers to intelligence as "SI" in place of "AI" (e.g., "SpaceXSI", "SpaceX SI", "XSI"). Stylizations of a qualifying name, or a qualifying name followed by a corporate suffix, will qualify. Renaming either SpaceXAI or its parent company, SpaceX, to a qualifying name will qualify. SpaceXAI must announce that they have officially changed to a qualifying name by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Announcements of future intention will not qualify. An official announcement that the name change has been adopted will qualify even if the company's website, documents, or other materials have not yet been updated. Adopting a qualifying name as the company's name on its official website will also qualify. Statements, interviews, social media posts, polls, jokes, or expressions of interest in renaming the company will not qualify unless accompanied by an official announcement that the name change has been adopted. Renaming any SpaceXAI or SpaceX product, model, division, subsidiary, or program (e.g., Grok, X), without renaming the company itself, will not qualify. Changes to SpaceXAI's listed name caused by hacks will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, SpaceX, or their representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the SpaceX renaming market tracks the current odds of the company officially changing its name to SpaceXSI by the resolution date. You’ll find a price history chart illustrating how the probability has shifted over time, along with the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $41,607. The total volume traded in this market is $114,674. This allows traders to gauge market sentiment and identify potential trading opportunities related to this specific event.

Currently, the prediction market suggests a very high probability of a name change. This contrasts with some analyst forecasts, which are more uncertain given the complexities of corporate rebranding and potential regulatory hurdles. While analysts often consider broader strategic implications, this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders directly incentivized to predict the outcome accurately. It's important to note that analyst opinions are not directly financially tied to the event's outcome, unlike traders in this market.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of SpaceXAI renaming itself to SpaceXSI by the specified date. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants, and changes dynamically based on supply and demand. Higher demand for shares increases the price, indicating greater confidence in a 'yes' outcome, and vice versa.

This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether SpaceXAI has officially announced a name change to SpaceXSI, documented through official company statements, SEC filings, or other widely recognized and authoritative sources. Any official announcement prior to the resolution date will immediately settle this market, reflecting the confirmed outcome.

Several signals could significantly impact this market. Official statements from Elon Musk or other SpaceX executives regarding a potential rebranding would be a major catalyst. Any news regarding trademark filings for “SpaceXSI” or related branding materials would also likely move the market. Unexpected regulatory challenges or internal company restructuring could also influence trader sentiment. Positive or negative publicity surrounding SpaceX’s AI initiatives might also play a role, as a rebranding could be tied to emphasizing that division.