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Will SpaceX (SPCX) finish week of October 26 above___?
polymarket

Will SpaceX finish the week of October 26 above?

Volume:
$807

$120

 - Polymarket

$120 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 30, 2026

Closed: Oct 30, 5:57 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$120

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$166
$173
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$135

0%
88%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$146
$393
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$155

0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$28,036
$31
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$145

0%
35%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$28,014
$30
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$165

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$286
$30
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$175

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$22,043
$30
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$150

0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$23,020
$30
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$160

0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$28,064
$30
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$170

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$28,014
$30
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$180

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$29,013
$30
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$125

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$130

100%
10%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$140

0%
65%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 13

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for SpaceX (SPCX) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If SpaceX (SPCX) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the week, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for SpaceX (SPCX) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If SpaceX (SPCX) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the week, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.

Frequently asked questions

Currently, the prediction market suggests a specific expectation for the SpaceX stock price, as reflected in the odds available on Polymarket. It’s interesting to compare this to the views of financial analysts, who may offer price targets and recommendations based on fundamental analysis. If analysts generally predict a positive outlook for SpaceX, we might expect to see higher probabilities assigned to the 'above' outcome in this market. However, the market incorporates a wider range of information and sentiment, potentially leading to differences between prediction market probabilities and traditional analyst forecasts.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about whether SpaceX will finish the week of October 26 above a certain price. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price fluctuates based on supply and demand, driven by new information and shifts in trader sentiment. Higher demand for shares indicating a positive outcome will drive up the price, and vice versa.

This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the closing stock price of SpaceX during the week of October 26. The market will determine whether the closing price is above the threshold defined in the market’s question. The data used for verification will be sourced from established financial data providers to ensure accuracy and transparency.

Several factors could significantly influence this market. Major news regarding SpaceX’s launch schedule, successful mission outcomes, or significant contract wins would likely drive up the probability of a positive outcome. Conversely, delays in launches, technical difficulties, or negative news about the company’s financial performance could lower the odds. Broader market trends in the technology sector and overall economic conditions could also play a role. Any official statements from SpaceX leadership regarding their future outlook could also move this market.