TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Will Palantir (PLTR) close above ___ end of August?
polymarket

Will Palantir (PLTR) close above ___ end of August?

Volume:
$3,554

$134

 - Polymarket

$134 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 31, 2026

Closed: Aug 31, 4:24 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$134

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,468
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$132

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$260
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$126

100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$217
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$124

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$206
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$130

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$181
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$116

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$180
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$118

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$178
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$110

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$165
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$128

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$160
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$114

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$145
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$122

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$140
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$112

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$134
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$120

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$120
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 13

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) on the final trading day of August 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the month, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.PLTR%2FUSD.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) on the final trading day of August 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the month, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.PLTR%2FUSD.

Frequently asked questions

Currently, this market reflects a strong consensus that Palantir will beat the threshold, contrasting with some analyst forecasts that remain more cautious or mixed. While the prediction odds lean heavily toward a positive outcome, many analysts still weigh broader market conditions and Palantir’s quarterly performance before taking a firm stance. Tracking this market lets you see where crowd sentiment diverges from or aligns with traditional equity research.

This market resolves around Aug 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final settlement will depend on Palantir’s official closing price on the last trading day of August, as recorded by standard financial data sources. No further interpretation or external judgment is needed beyond the publicly available market close.

Key signals that could shift this market include Palantir’s upcoming earnings release, broader tech-sector volatility, regulatory news affecting AI software firms, and any major macroeconomic announcements impacting tech valuations. Large institutional trades, analyst upgrades or downgrades, and sector-wide news around data analytics platforms can also create short-term swings in the odds as traders reassess their positions.