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Will Oracle (ORCL) beat quarterly earnings?
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Will Oracle (ORCL) beat quarterly earnings?

Volume:
$3,541

Will Oracle (ORCL) beat quarterly earnings?

 - Polymarket

Will Oracle (ORCL) beat quarterly earnings? - Polymarket

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Resolved Sep 10, 2026

Closed: Sep 10, 6:12 PM EST

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Will Oracle (ORCL) beat quarterly earnings?

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100%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,541
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

As of market creation, Oracle is estimated to release earnings on September 8, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Oracle’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $1.74 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Oracle reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $1.74 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If Oracle releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. If no GAAP EPS number is available from either source at that time, the market will resolve to “No.” (For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless it is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.) If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced non-GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024). Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for non-GAAP EPS. Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS. Note: If multiple versions of non-GAAP EPS are published, the market will resolve according to the primary headline non-GAAP EPS number, which is typically presented on a diluted basis. If diluted is not published, then basic non-GAAP EPS will qualify. Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated. Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.

Polymarket

As of market creation, Oracle is estimated to release earnings on September 8, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Oracle’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $1.74 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Oracle reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $1.74 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If Oracle releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. If no GAAP EPS number is available from either source at that time, the market will resolve to “No.” (For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless it is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.) If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced non-GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024). Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for non-GAAP EPS. Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS. Note: If multiple versions of non-GAAP EPS are published, the market will resolve according to the primary headline non-GAAP EPS number, which is typically presented on a diluted basis. If diluted is not published, then basic non-GAAP EPS will qualify. Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated. Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the Oracle earnings beat market dashboard tracks real-time odds and price history for the Oracle earnings beat market, along with 24-hour volume of $194. This view shows how traders on Polymarket are positioning around the likelihood of Oracle beating its quarterly earnings expectations, updated continuously throughout the trading period.

Currently, this market shows a strong inclination toward Oracle beating expectations, with implied odds reflecting a higher probability than many traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts may present a more conservative or mixed outlook, the trading activity here captures real-time sentiment and can diverge notably from published estimates, offering a complementary perspective on market expectations.

On Polymarket, this market reflects trader sentiment through continuously updated odds. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Currently, the probability that the Oracle earnings beat market will settle 'yes' is indicated by the top outcome's implied chance. The full trading volume stands at $3,541, showing strong interest. Over the past 24 hours, $194 of volume has been traded, suggesting active participation and potential price shifts as new earnings data or analyst updates emerge.

This market resolves around Sep 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by comparing Oracle’s actual reported earnings to consensus analyst estimates, and the market will settle based on whether the company meets or exceeds those figures.

Several signals could shift this market before it resolves on Sep 10, 2026. Key earnings previews, analyst upgrades or downgrades, and macroeconomic data affecting tech stocks may all influence trader expectations. Unexpected revenue adjustments or guidance changes from Oracle could also create volatility. As the report date approaches, real-time market reactions to any early indicators will likely drive significant movement in this market's odds.