TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 5, 6:19 PM EST
Polymarket
As of market creation, Occidental Petroleum is estimated to release earnings on August 5, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Occidental Petroleum’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $1.88 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Occidental Petroleum reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $1.88 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If Occidental Petroleum releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. If no GAAP EPS number is available from either source at that time, the market will resolve to “No.” (For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless it is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.) If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced non-GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024). Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for non-GAAP EPS. Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS. Note: If multiple versions of non-GAAP EPS are published, the market will resolve according to the primary headline non-GAAP EPS number, which is typically presented on a diluted basis. If diluted is not published, then basic non-GAAP EPS will qualify. Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated. Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
As of market creation, Occidental Petroleum is estimated to release earnings on August 5, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Occidental Petroleum’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $1.88 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Occidental Petroleum reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $1.88 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If Occidental Petroleum releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. If no GAAP EPS number is available from either source at that time, the market will resolve to “No.” (For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless it is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.) If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced non-GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024). Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for non-GAAP EPS. Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS. Note: If multiple versions of non-GAAP EPS are published, the market will resolve according to the primary headline non-GAAP EPS number, which is typically presented on a diluted basis. If diluted is not published, then basic non-GAAP EPS will qualify. Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated. Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds incorporate a broader range of inputs, including investor sentiment, recent market movements, and macroeconomic factors. While analysts rely on detailed financial modeling and company guidance, this market aggregates crowd-sourced predictions that can react faster to unexpected news or shifts in investor confidence. As a result, odds on this market may diverge from consensus analyst estimates, especially in the days leading up to the earnings release, reflecting real-time trader expectations rather than static projections.
This market resolves around Aug 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Traders will see the market settle based on whether Occidental Petroleum’s reported earnings per share and revenue figures exceed consensus analyst estimates for the quarter. The process ensures a clear, objective determination once official results are released and widely reported, closing the market and finalizing payouts for all participants according to their positions.
Several signals could shift odds in this market before resolution. Earnings pre-announcements, analyst upgrades or downgrades, oil price volatility, and broader macroeconomic data — such as inventory reports or energy demand trends — may all influence trader sentiment. Additionally, management commentary during conference calls, unexpected production updates, or regulatory developments could cause rapid price movements. As the earnings release approaches, any surprise guidance or revisions to future forecasts will likely produce the most significant swings in market probability.