TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of August 3 above___?
polymarket

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of August 3 above___?

Volume:
$3,327

$170

 - Polymarket

$170 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 7, 2026

Closed: Aug 7, 4:26 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$170

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
11¢
N/A
$1,135
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$210

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$632
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$185

100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$190
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$195

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$189
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$175

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$189
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$180

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$189
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$190

100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$139
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$220

100%
26%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$106
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$215

100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$81
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$200

100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$75
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$205

100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$70
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$230

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$272
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$225

0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$60
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 13

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If NVIDIA (NVDA) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the week, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If NVIDIA (NVDA) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the week, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard tracks real-time odds and price trends for the NVDA weekly price market on Polymarket. It shows the current probability of NVIDIA closing above a specific level for the week ending Aug 7, 2026, along with 24-hour volume of $819. This view helps traders monitor how market sentiment shifts around key earnings dates, product launches, or macroeconomic signals that could influence the stock’s weekly performance.

On Polymarket, odds reflect collective trader conviction, often showing sharper moves than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts may weigh quarterly earnings, guidance, or tech-sector trends, this market incorporates all publicly available information — including real-time news flow and investor sentiment — into its probability pricing. That can create divergence, especially ahead of major announcements or Fed policy shifts that analysts haven’t fully priced in yet.

This market resolves around Aug 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final settlement checks whether NVIDIA’s closing price for that week meets the predefined threshold, based on standard market data sources. No manual intervention or platform-specific rules affect this process — it’s purely a function of the stock’s actual performance.

Key drivers include NVIDIA’s upcoming earnings release, broader semiconductor sector news, U.S. tech-sector volatility, and any macroeconomic updates that impact growth-stock valuations. Positive surprises in AI-partner contracts or data-center demand could push odds higher, while regulatory headlines or sudden shifts in Fed policy might depress the probability. Traders will also watch options-market implied volatility and institutional positioning for early signals.