TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above ___ end of August?
polymarket

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above ___ end of August?

Volume:
$11,592

$200

 - Polymarket

$200 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 31, 2026

Closed: Aug 31, 4:24 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$200

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,527
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$160

100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,841
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$210

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,290
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$190

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$775
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$140

100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$526
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$220

100%
19%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$496
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$150

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$480
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$170

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$189
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$180

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$55
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$230

0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$982
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$260

0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$180
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$240

0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$126
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$250

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$125
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 13

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final trading day of August 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If NVIDIA (NVDA) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the month, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final trading day of August 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If NVIDIA (NVDA) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the month, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD.

Frequently asked questions

This market resolves around Aug 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final settlement will depend on NVIDIA’s official closing price on the last trading day of August, as recorded by standard market data sources. No further interpretation or external calculation is needed — the result is binary based on that single data point.

Key earnings reports, analyst upgrades or downgrades, major product announcements, and broader market swings in the tech sector could all shift this market. Any surprise guidance from NVIDIA’s leadership or significant macroeconomic news affecting semiconductor demand may cause rapid re-pricing. Traders will also watch inventory levels, supply-chain updates, and competitive moves that could impact NVIDIA’s short-term stock performance leading up to Aug 31, 2026.