TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Will Moderna be above $130 at the end of August?
predict

Will Moderna be above $130 at the end of August?

Volume:
$2,333

Will Moderna be above $130 at the end of August, 2026?

 - Predict

Will Moderna be above $130 at the end of August, 2026? - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 2, 2026

Closed: Aug 31, 7:59 PM EST

predict

Predict

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
predict

Will Moderna be above $130 at the end of August, 2026?

View
96%
Yes 96¢No 4¢
—
$149
$2,333
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for Moderna, Inc. (MRNA) on Monday, August 31, 2026 (ET) is higher than $130.00. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the Official closing price is exactly $130.00, this market will resolve to 50-50 If Nasdaq does not hold a regular trading session on August 31, 2026, the final completed Nasdaq trading session in August 2026 will be used. If Moderna, Inc, (MRNA) does not trade at all during the relevant regular session, this market will resolve 50-50. If the session is shortened, the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If the relevant trading session has no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Moderna, Inc. (MRNA) “Close” price published under Historical Data at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MRNA/history/. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting Moderna, Inc. (MRNA) during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. If Yahoo Finance is unavailable or does not publish a Close price for MRNA by September 4th, the official closing price reported by Nasdaq will be used. However a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Predict

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for Moderna, Inc. (MRNA) on Monday, August 31, 2026 (ET) is higher than $130.00. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the Official closing price is exactly $130.00, this market will resolve to 50-50 If Nasdaq does not hold a regular trading session on August 31, 2026, the final completed Nasdaq trading session in August 2026 will be used. If Moderna, Inc, (MRNA) does not trade at all during the relevant regular session, this market will resolve 50-50. If the session is shortened, the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If the relevant trading session has no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Moderna, Inc. (MRNA) “Close” price published under Historical Data at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MRNA/history/. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting Moderna, Inc. (MRNA) during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. If Yahoo Finance is unavailable or does not publish a Close price for MRNA by September 4th, the official closing price reported by Nasdaq will be used. However a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, this dashboard tracks the latest odds and price history for the Moderna $130 price market, along with real-time updates on trading volume. It shows how the market’s top outcome is priced, reflecting trader sentiment as the event date approaches. The display includes current chance percentages and $0 as 24-hour volume, giving you a snapshot of activity and momentum for this market.

On Predict, the odds for this market reflect aggregated trader expectations, which can diverge from traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts may issue target prices or reports influencing investor sentiment, prediction market odds capture real-time betting behavior. Traders might price in different risks or near-term catalysts than consensus analyst views, making this market an alternative signal to consider alongside expert opinions.

On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Predict, this market is priced through a decentralized process where traders buy and sell contracts based on their outlook for Moderna’s price. The current top outcome’s percentage chance is set by the balance of these bets, with volume of $2,333 indicating liquidity. Price fluctuations happen continuously as new information emerges, shaping the market’s outlook.

This market resolves around Aug 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final stock price at the close of trading on that day will determine whether the contract settles as yes or no.

Several signals could shift this market before Aug 31, 2026. Earnings reports, FDA decisions, or major partnership announcements for Moderna may cause rapid price adjustments. Broader market trends, sector performance, or macroeconomic factors like interest rate changes can also influence trader sentiment. Any surprise news that impacts Moderna’s stock price has the potential to move this market significantly as traders react.