TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of September 7 above___?
polymarket

Will Microsoft finish the week of September 7 above?

Volume:
$2,271

$480

 - Polymarket

$480 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 11, 2026

Closed: Sep 11, 4:25 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$480

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$951
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$450

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$35
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$460

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$35
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$470

View
100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$35
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$490

View
100%
35%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$35
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$440

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$35
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$510

View
0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$930
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$500

View
0%
16%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$41
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$520

View
0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$35
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$530

View
0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$35
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$540

View
0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$35
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$550

View
0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$35
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$560

View
0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$35
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 13

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the week, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the week, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Microsoft stock market tracks the current odds of Microsoft (MSFT) finishing the week of September 7 above a certain price. You’ll find information on the implied probability of different outcomes, the total volume traded – currently at $2,271 – and the 24-hour volume, which is $2,185. This allows traders to monitor market sentiment and activity around this specific question. The dashboard also displays the price history of the market, providing a visual representation of how predictions have shifted over time.

Currently, prediction market odds reflect a collective assessment of whether Microsoft’s stock will finish the specified week above a certain level. This differs from traditional analyst forecasts, which are often based on individual research and models. While analyst opinions can be valuable, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a more accurate prediction. Discrepancies between this market and analyst forecasts can arise due to differing information access, biases, or interpretations of market conditions. It's important to consider both sources when forming your own view.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome, and the price of these shares reflects the implied probability of Microsoft finishing the week of September 7 above the target price. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price adjusts dynamically based on supply and demand, meaning that increased buying pressure will raise the price, indicating greater confidence in the outcome, and vice versa. The current volume traded provides insight into the level of interest and conviction surrounding this event.

This market resolves around Sep 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the closing price of Microsoft (MSFT) stock on the Friday of that week will be compared to the target price established for this market. The outcome will be determined based on this publicly available data, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders should monitor news and financial data sources leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about potential market movements.

Several signals or events could significantly impact this market. Major news regarding Microsoft’s financial performance, product announcements, or significant changes in the broader economic climate would likely cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected earnings reports, analyst upgrades or downgrades, and macroeconomic data releases (like inflation or interest rate decisions) could all influence investor sentiment and, consequently, the price of Microsoft stock. Any unforeseen events affecting the technology sector as a whole could also move this market, as could major shifts in overall market risk appetite.