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Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of October 5 above___?
polymarket

Will Microsoft finish the week of October 5 above?

Volume:
$496

$530

 - Polymarket

$530 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 9, 2026

Closed: Oct 9, 4:17 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$530

View
100%
72%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
—
N/A
$242
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$510

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
—
N/A
$28
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$520

100%
15%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
—
N/A
$23
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$460

100%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$470

100%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$480

100%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$490

100%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$500

100%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$540

0%
5%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$23
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$550

0%
11%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$560

0%
13%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$570

0%
14%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$580

0%
13%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 13

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the week, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the week, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Microsoft stock market tracks the current odds of the market resolving above a certain price point, along with the price history and 24-hour trading volume. Currently, the volume is $260 and the total volume is $496. You can see how the probabilities have shifted over time and gauge market sentiment. The dashboard provides a real-time view of where traders believe Microsoft’s stock price will be at the close of trading on the week of October 5th, offering a dynamic assessment of potential future performance.

Comparing the odds in this market to traditional analyst forecasts reveals how collective prediction differs from expert opinion. While analysts often provide price targets with specific justifications, this market represents a weighted average of many individual predictions. Currently, the market implies a strong belief that Microsoft will finish the week of October 5th above a certain price. It's interesting to consider whether this differs from the consensus view of financial analysts covering the stock, and why those discrepancies might exist. This provides a unique perspective beyond standard financial reporting.

This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the closing stock price of Microsoft (MSFT) on the final trading day of the week of October 5th will be used to determine whether the market resolves in the affirmative or negative. The price will be sourced from a widely recognized financial data provider. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the outcome, reflecting actual market performance rather than subjective interpretation.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 9, 2026. Major company announcements from Microsoft, such as earnings reports, new product launches, or significant partnership deals, would likely have a substantial impact. Broader economic news, including interest rate decisions, inflation data, or overall market sentiment, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected geopolitical events or shifts in the technology sector could also play a role. Any news that alters investor perception of Microsoft’s future prospects has the potential to shift the odds in this market.