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2,984,028,936

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$1,879,276,037

410,833

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4,363

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Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of October 26 above___?
polymarket

Will Microsoft finish the week of October 26 above?

Volume:
$5,026

$520

 - Polymarket

$520 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 30, 2026

Closed: Oct 30, 5:39 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$520

View
100%
18%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,452
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$490

100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$460

100%
10%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$29
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$470

100%
10%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$530

0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$335
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$540

0%
39%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$77
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$550

0%
16%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$580

0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$29
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$570

0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$29
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$500

100%
49%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$560

0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$480

100%
49%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$510

100%
24%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 13

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the week, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the week, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Microsoft stock market tracks the current odds of whether Microsoft (MSFT) will finish the week of October 26 above a certain price point. You’ll find a price chart displaying how the probabilities have shifted over time, along with the total volume traded in this market, currently at $5,026, and the 24-hour volume, which stands at $5,026. This provides a real-time view of where traders are placing their bets and how confidence in different outcomes is evolving.

Currently, prediction market participants are expressing a view on Microsoft’s stock performance for the week of October 26. It’s interesting to compare this to traditional analyst forecasts, which often rely on financial modeling and company reports. While analysts may provide price targets and ratings, this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are putting their capital at risk based on their own assessments. Discrepancies between the market’s implied probability and analyst opinions can highlight differing perspectives on the company’s prospects.

This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the closing price of Microsoft (MSFT) stock on the final trading day of the week of October 26 will be compared to the market’s threshold. The resolution will be based on publicly available financial data, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of whether the market resolves in favor of the 'yes' or 'no' outcome.

Several factors could significantly influence this market before it resolves. Major news announcements regarding Microsoft's earnings, new product launches, or significant shifts in the overall technology sector could all impact trader sentiment. Broader economic indicators, such as inflation data or interest rate decisions, could also play a role, as they affect market risk appetite. Unexpected geopolitical events or changes in regulatory policies related to technology companies could also move this market, as traders adjust their expectations based on new information.