TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 25, 11:10 PM EST
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Opinion
Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official "Close" price for Micron (MU) on the trading day specified in the title is strictly higher than the price specified in the title. A "Close" exactly equal to the specified price resolves to "No". If the market is not open on the specified day (exchange holiday or unscheduled closure), or Micron (MU) does not trade at all during that day's regular session, this market resolves 50-50 — each side is paid at half value; this is not a refund. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting Micron (MU), this market resolves on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in the title is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Micron (MU) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MU/ under "Historical Prices". If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which Micron (MU) trades governs.
Opinion
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official "Close" price for Micron (MU) on the trading day specified in the title is strictly higher than the price specified in the title. A "Close" exactly equal to the specified price resolves to "No". If the market is not open on the specified day (exchange holiday or unscheduled closure), or Micron (MU) does not trade at all during that day's regular session, this market resolves 50-50 — each side is paid at half value; this is not a refund. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting Micron (MU), this market resolves on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in the title is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Micron (MU) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MU/ under "Historical Prices". If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which Micron (MU) trades governs.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, the prevailing sentiment in this market suggests a different outlook than some traditional analyst forecasts for Micron. While analysts often provide point estimates or ranges, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, reflecting a probability-weighted expectation of whether the stock will close above a specified price. Discrepancies can arise due to differing methodologies, biases, or access to information. It’s important to remember that prediction markets represent a forward-looking view based on collective intelligence, while analyst reports are often based on past performance and current conditions.
On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of these contracts directly reflects the implied probability of the stock finishing the week of September 21 above the target price. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. The current top outcome, as indicated by trading activity, has a volume of $0.
This market resolves around Sep 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the closing price of Micron stock on the Friday of the week of September 21 will be checked against the target price defined in the market. The outcome will be determined by this publicly available price data, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the verified result.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Unexpected news regarding Micron’s earnings, new product announcements, or changes in the semiconductor industry outlook could all cause shifts in trader sentiment. Broader macroeconomic events, such as interest rate changes or shifts in global economic growth forecasts, could also play a role. Any significant news related to major customers of Micron, or competitive pressures from other chip manufacturers, could also move the market. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding the dynamic pricing of this market.
