TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$245,601,049

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,985,204,718

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,897,405,322

408,349

Markets across

39,583

events

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4,443

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

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63%

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Will Micron (MU) close above … end of October?
opinion

Will Micron (MU) close above … end of October?

Volume:
$559,161

1,120

 - Opinion

1,120 - Opinion

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 30, 2026

Closed: Oct 30, 11:06 PM EST

opinion

Opinion

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
opinion

1,120

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$220,224
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

960

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$128,962
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

1,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$87,327
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

1,060

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$82,704
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

980

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$26,030
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

1,180

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,192
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

1,080

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,562
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

1,020

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,235
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

1,200

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,513
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

1,100

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$413
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

1,040

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

1,140

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

1,160

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 13

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official "Close" price for Micron (MU) on the trading day specified in the title is strictly higher than the price specified in the title. A "Close" exactly equal to the specified price resolves to "No". If the market is not open on the specified day (exchange holiday or unscheduled closure), or Micron (MU) does not trade at all during that day's regular session, this market resolves 50-50 — each side is paid at half value; this is not a refund. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting Micron (MU), this market resolves on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in the title is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Micron (MU) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MU/ under "Historical Prices". If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which Micron (MU) trades governs.

Opinion

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official "Close" price for Micron (MU) on the trading day specified in the title is strictly higher than the price specified in the title. A "Close" exactly equal to the specified price resolves to "No". If the market is not open on the specified day (exchange holiday or unscheduled closure), or Micron (MU) does not trade at all during that day's regular session, this market resolves 50-50 — each side is paid at half value; this is not a refund. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting Micron (MU), this market resolves on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in the title is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Micron (MU) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MU/ under "Historical Prices". If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which Micron (MU) trades governs.

Frequently asked questions

On Opinion, the dashboard for the Micron stock market tracks the current odds of the stock closing above its current price by the end of October. You'll find a price chart reflecting trader sentiment, the total volume traded of $559,161, and the 24-hour volume of $0. This allows you to see how quickly opinions are changing and the level of interest in this particular outcome. The dashboard provides a real-time view of where traders are placing their bets, offering insights into market expectations.

Currently, the collective wisdom of traders on Opinion suggests a different outlook than many traditional analyst forecasts for Micron. While some analysts predict continued volatility, this market reflects a more nuanced view of the stock’s potential performance. It’s important to remember that analyst forecasts are often based on models and assumptions, whereas this market represents the aggregated predictions of individuals with skin in the game. Discrepancies between prediction market odds and analyst forecasts can highlight areas of disagreement or differing levels of confidence.

On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether Micron will close above its current price by the end of October. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the evolving probabilities assigned by traders. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing means the odds are constantly adjusting as new information becomes available and traders refine their predictions, creating a real-time assessment of market sentiment.

This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the closing price of Micron stock on the last trading day of October will be checked against the market’s prediction. If the stock closes above the specified price, the 'yes' contracts will pay out; otherwise, the 'no' contracts will. The resolution will be based on publicly available financial data, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the outcome.

Several factors could significantly influence this market before Oct 30, 2026. Major announcements from Micron regarding earnings, new product launches, or changes in their financial outlook would likely cause shifts in trader sentiment. Broader economic news, particularly related to the semiconductor industry or overall market conditions, could also play a role. Unexpected geopolitical events or shifts in investor confidence could also move the market. Any news that alters the perceived future prospects of Micron stock has the potential to impact the odds in this market.