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Will Con Edison (ED) beat quarterly earnings?
- Polymarket
Will Con Edison (ED) beat quarterly earnings? - Polymarket
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Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 5, 2026
Time left: 02d:21h:04m
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As of market creation, Con Edison is estimated to release earnings on October 29, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Con Edison’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $2.06 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Con Edison reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $2.06 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If Con Edison releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. If no GAAP EPS number is available from either source at that time, the market will resolve to “No.” (For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless it is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.) If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced non-GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024). Note: The strike prices used in these markets reflect the selected street consensus estimate for non-GAAP EPS as of market creation. Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS. Note: If multiple versions of non-GAAP EPS are published, the market will resolve according to the primary headline non-GAAP EPS number, which is typically presented on a diluted basis. If diluted is not published, then basic non-GAAP EPS will qualify. Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated. Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
As of market creation, Con Edison is estimated to release earnings on October 29, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Con Edison’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $2.06 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Con Edison reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $2.06 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If Con Edison releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. If no GAAP EPS number is available from either source at that time, the market will resolve to “No.” (For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless it is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.) If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced non-GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024). Note: The strike prices used in these markets reflect the selected street consensus estimate for non-GAAP EPS as of market creation. Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS. Note: If multiple versions of non-GAAP EPS are published, the market will resolve according to the primary headline non-GAAP EPS number, which is typically presented on a diluted basis. If diluted is not published, then basic non-GAAP EPS will qualify. Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated. Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Currently, the odds in this market reflect a collective prediction about Con Edison's performance. It's often insightful to compare these odds to traditional analyst forecasts and polls. If analysts widely predict Con Edison will exceed earnings expectations, we might see higher probabilities assigned to that outcome in this market. However, prediction markets can sometimes incorporate information that isn't immediately reflected in analyst reports, such as subtle shifts in investor sentiment or early indicators of company performance. Discrepancies between this market and analyst expectations can present potential trading opportunities.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about whether Con Edison will beat quarterly earnings. The price of these shares directly reflects the market’s implied probability. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket, and is not influenced by external factors or any other prediction markets.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on whether Con Edison’s reported quarterly earnings exceed the consensus estimates of financial analysts at the time of the earnings release. The exact earnings figures will be sourced from official Con Edison financial statements and reports, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for this market. Traders should monitor these reports as they become available following the earnings announcement.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market before it resolves. Any news related to Con Edison’s financial health, such as pre-earnings announcements, changes in energy demand, or significant regulatory developments, could shift trader sentiment. Broader economic indicators, like inflation rates or interest rate changes, could also influence the market, as they affect overall corporate earnings expectations. Finally, analyst upgrades or downgrades of Con Edison’s stock could trigger price movements in this market as traders react to new information and perspectives.