TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Other
Will Claude go down on __ days in April?
polymarket

Will Claude go down on __ days in April?

Volume:
$85,583

12+

 - Polymarket

12+ - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 26, 2026

Closed: Apr 29, 8:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

12+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$21,076
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

6-8

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,025
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

0-2

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,970
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

3-5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,327
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

9-11

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,185
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of April during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime. Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution. A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun. This market will resolve once the final day in April 2026 is finalized. If the final day in April 2026 has not been finalized by May 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in April which have been finalized up to that time. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).