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419,363

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Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of October 5 above___?
polymarket

Will Apple finish the week of October 5 above?

Volume:
$15,893

$330

 - Polymarket

$330 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 9, 2026

Closed: Oct 9, 4:36 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$330

View
100%
6%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
—
N/A
$4,869
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$335

View
100%
7%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
—
N/A
$4,844
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$315

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
—
N/A
$605
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$325

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
—
N/A
$549
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$320

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
—
N/A
$520
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$305

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$310

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$340

View
0%
34%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,652
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$345

View
0%
34%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$734
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$350

View
0%
15%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$355

View
0%
20%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$360

View
0%
16%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$365

View
0%
19%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 13

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Apple (AAPL) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Apple (AAPL) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the week, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Apple (AAPL) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Apple (AAPL) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Apple (AAPL) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the week, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Apple (AAPL) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Apple stock market tracks the current odds of Apple (AAPL) finishing the week of October 5 above a certain price point. You'll find the implied probability of different outcomes, a price history chart showing how the market has traded over time, and the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $3,249. The total volume traded on this market is $15,893. This information helps traders understand market sentiment and make informed decisions about buying or selling shares in this prediction market.

Currently, this market reflects a strong belief that Apple's stock will finish the week of October 5 above a specified price. This contrasts with traditional analyst forecasts, which often provide a range of potential outcomes with varying probabilities. While analyst opinions are based on fundamental and technical analysis, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, representing a diverse range of perspectives on Apple’s future performance. Discrepancies between the prediction market and analyst expectations can highlight differing levels of confidence or access to information.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their beliefs about the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of Apple (AAPL) finishing the week of October 5 above the target price. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective sentiment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's liquidity, indicated by the 24-hour volume of $3,249, influences how easily traders can enter and exit positions.

This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the closing price of Apple (AAPL) stock on the Friday of that week will be compared to the target price defined within the market. The market will then settle based on whether the stock price finished above or below that level. The resolution will be based on publicly available financial data, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.

Several factors could significantly influence this market before it resolves. Major company announcements from Apple, such as earnings reports or new product releases, are likely catalysts. Broader economic news, including inflation data or interest rate decisions, could also impact investor sentiment and the stock price. Unexpected geopolitical events or shifts in the overall market trend could also play a role. Positive or negative news regarding Apple’s supply chain or competitive landscape would also be key signals to watch as they could move this market.