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Science and Technology
Will Apple (AAPL) close above ___ end of August?
polymarket
opinion

Will Apple (AAPL) close above ___ end of August?

Volume:
$10,486

$310

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Opinion

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 31, 2026

Closed: Aug 31, 4:24 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$310

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$7,690
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
opinion

310

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$260

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$612
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$270

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$262
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$250

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$232
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$280

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$147
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$290

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$97
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$300

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$47
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
opinion

300

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$370

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$372
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$320

View
0%
91%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$259
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$360

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$211
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$350

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$190
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$330

View
0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$184
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$340

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$183
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

295

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

305

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

315

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 18

Description

This group of markets tracks whether Apple's (AAPL) closing stock price will exceed various thresholds at the end of August 2026. Each market has a different price threshold, ranging from $250 to $370.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All markets use the same resolution logic based on Apple's closing price from Pyth or the primary exchange if Pyth fails.Primary resolution logic: Pyth (https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD)

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolve to Yes if Apple's closing price on the last trading day of August 2026 is strictly above the listed threshold
  • Resolve to No if the closing price is equal to or below the threshold
  • Use Pyth's closing price; if unavailable, use the official closing price from the primary exchange
  • Adjust for stock splits and corporate actions using Pyth's split-adjusted prices

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • No Trading Day: If Apple does not trade on the final day of August, the market resolves 50-50
  • Exact Match: If the closing price exactly equals the threshold, the market resolves to No
  • Data Failure: If Pyth has no valid closing price, use the official closing price from the primary exchange
Timing: Resolution occurs after the market close on the last trading day of August 2026Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Apple (AAPL) on the final trading day of August 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Apple (AAPL) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the month, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Apple (AAPL) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD.

Opinion

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official "Close" price for Apple (AAPL) on the trading day specified in the title is strictly higher than the price specified in the title. A "Close" exactly equal to the specified price resolves to "No". If the market is not open on the specified day (exchange holiday or unscheduled closure), or Apple (AAPL) does not trade at all during that day's regular session, this market resolves 50-50 — each side is paid at half value; this is not a refund. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting Apple (AAPL), this market resolves on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in the title is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/ under "Historical Prices". If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which Apple (AAPL) trades governs.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Apple August price market aggregates data from multiple venues, showing how traders across platforms price the likelihood of Apple closing above a certain level by the end of August. It displays current odds, volume of $10,486, and 24-hour volume of $4,789, offering a consolidated view of market sentiment toward this event.

On Polymarket, odds reflect collective trader sentiment and can diverge from traditional analyst forecasts, which are often based on fundamentals and technical analysis. This market’s pricing may react faster to short-term news or investor sentiment shifts, while analysts typically provide longer-term outlooks. Comparing both gives a fuller picture of market expectations.