TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of October 5 above___?
polymarket

Will Amazon finish the week of October 5 above?

Volume:
$3,926

$240

 - Polymarket

$240 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 9, 2026

Closed: Oct 9, 4:17 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$240

View
100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
—
N/A
$1,320
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$250

100%
36%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
—
N/A
$962
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$260

100%
87%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
—
N/A
$623
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$255

100%
41%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
—
N/A
$606
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$230

100%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
—
N/A
$230
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$220

100%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$235

100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$245

100%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$225

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
—
N/A
$45
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$265

0%
16%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$270

0%
17%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$275

0%
17%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$280

0%
17%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 13

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the week, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AMZN%2FUSD.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the week, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AMZN%2FUSD.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Amazon stock price market tracks the current implied probability of Amazon (AMZN) finishing the week of October 5 above a certain price point. You’ll find a visual representation of the odds, along with the price history of the market, showing how sentiment has shifted over time. The dashboard also displays the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $2,161, and the total volume traded to date, which is $3,926. This allows traders to quickly assess market activity and potential trends related to this specific prediction.

Currently, this market reflects a strong belief that Amazon’s stock will finish the week of October 5 above the prevailing price. This contrasts with some analyst forecasts, which present a more mixed outlook, with some predicting moderate growth and others anticipating a period of consolidation. It’s important to remember that analyst forecasts are based on models and assumptions, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders willing to put their capital at risk. The difference highlights how prediction markets can offer a real-time, incentive-driven alternative to traditional financial analysis.

This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the closing price of Amazon (AMZN) stock on the final trading day of the week of October 5 will be compared to the threshold price established within the market. This price will be sourced from a widely recognized financial data provider to ensure accuracy and transparency. The resolution will reflect whether the stock price finished above or below that level, determining which outcome is declared the winner.

Several factors could significantly influence this market before it resolves. Major economic data releases, such as inflation reports or employment figures, could impact overall market sentiment and affect Amazon’s stock price. Company-specific news, including earnings announcements, product launches, or changes in leadership, would also be key catalysts. Unexpected geopolitical events or shifts in regulatory policies could also play a role. Any news that alters investor confidence in Amazon’s future prospects has the potential to move the odds in this market substantially.