TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.1b

24H VOL:

$172,394,893

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,983,476,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,821,572,886

404,136

Markets across

40,075

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,369

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Who will win the 2026 Coinbase trading competition?
predict

Who will win the 2026 Coinbase trading competition?

Volume:
$23,253

Intern

 - Predict

Intern - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 8, 2026

Closed: Oct 8, 6:47 PM EST

predict

Predict

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
predict

Intern

View
100%
88%
Yes 99.9¢No 0.1¢
—
$16,993
$14,105
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Gou Penguin

View
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
$22,314
$3,154
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Cowcow

View
0%
12%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
$22,937
$1,503
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Ao Ying

View
0%
14%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
$22,731
$1,413
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Ansem

View
0%
12%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
$22,945
$1,341
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Booming Bulls

View
0%
11%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
$22,941
$438
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Xiandao

View
0%
11%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
$22,935
$391
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Jez

View
0%
14%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
$23,082
$313
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Insomniac

View
0%
12%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
$22,941
$299
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Osf

View
0%
11%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
$23,116
$296
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Description

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Coinbase IRL trading competition, currently scheduled for October 8th, 2026. If multiple traders are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the trader whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is canceled, postponed after November 8th, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Coinbase. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Predict

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Coinbase IRL trading competition, currently scheduled for October 8th, 2026. If multiple traders are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the trader whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is canceled, postponed after November 8th, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Coinbase. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

Currently, it's difficult to directly compare the predictions within this market to external analyst forecasts, as there is limited publicly available consensus on the likely winner of the Coinbase trading competition. However, prediction markets often aggregate diverse opinions and can reflect a 'wisdom of the crowd' effect, potentially offering a different perspective than individual analyst predictions. If analysts were to publish forecasts, comparing them to the implied probabilities within this market could reveal interesting insights into the collective assessment of potential outcomes and the factors driving those expectations.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome. The price of these contracts directly reflects the implied probability of each outcome occurring. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price is determined by the forces of supply and demand; if more traders believe an outcome is likely, the price of that contract will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date collective intelligence of participants.

This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the winner of the 2026 Coinbase trading competition is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official results announced by Coinbase, and will reflect the individual or team declared the winner of the competition. The platform will verify the outcome against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency, providing a definitive record of the event's result.

Several signals could significantly move this market before resolution. Any announcements from Coinbase regarding the competition's structure, rules, or eligibility criteria could impact trader sentiment. The performance of potential competitors in other trading competitions or their demonstrated trading skills could also influence the odds. Unexpected news related to the participants, such as changes in team composition or trading strategies, might also cause shifts in the market. Finally, broader market events or changes in the cryptocurrency landscape could indirectly affect perceptions of who is best positioned to succeed in the competition.