TOTAL VOLUME:
$139.3b
24H VOL:
$178,872,365
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,540,891,627
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,640,545,998
469,304
Markets across
36,320
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,948
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 15, 2:20 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil will reach $110 or $115 during the month of September 2026. Currently, the Polymarket market gives a 10.0% probability to WTI hitting $110 in September, and a 10.0% probability to WTI hitting $115 in September. Resolution will be based on data from https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI. Keep an eye on global oil supply reports leading up to October 1, 2026, as that is when this market is scheduled to resolve and determine whether either threshold was breached during the specified period.
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
Currently, prediction market participants seem to be more bullish than some traditional analyst forecasts. While many analysts predict moderate price increases, this market suggests a higher probability of WTI reaching higher price points by September 2026. It's important to remember that analyst forecasts are often based on economic models and geopolitical assumptions, while this market reflects the collective judgment of a diverse group of traders. This difference in outlook could stem from varying interpretations of the same data or differing risk appetites among market participants and analysts.
This market resolves around Oct 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the average price of WTI crude oil during September 2026 is verifiable from credible public reporting. The settlement will be based on the monthly average price of West Texas Intermediate crude oil as reported by a widely recognized source. Traders will be able to see the final outcome and whether their predictions were accurate shortly after the resolution date, allowing for a clear assessment of the market's predictive power.
Several factors could significantly move this market before Oct 1, 2026. Major geopolitical events, such as conflicts in oil-producing regions or shifts in OPEC+ production policies, could cause substantial price swings. Unexpected changes in global economic growth, particularly in major economies like China and the United States, would also impact demand and influence prices. Furthermore, technological advancements in renewable energy or significant discoveries of new oil reserves could alter long-term expectations and affect trading activity in this market.