What signals or events could move this market between now and resolution?

This event group asks whether WTI Crude Oil prices will reach specific high or low thresholds during any trading session in August 2026. Markets resolve based on real-time price data from the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures contract.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms use identical price threshold logic based on Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures trading sessions in August 2026, with Pyth as the primary data source and CME Group as the fallback.Primary resolution logic: Pyth (Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures 1-minute candles) with CME Group daily prices as backup

Core resolution logic:

Market resolves to Yes if any 1-minute candle's high (for ↑ markets) or low (for ↓ markets) reaches or exceeds the listed price during any trading session in August 2026
Market resolves to No if the Active Month contract does not trade at all during August 2026
Only prices achieved during applicable trading sessions on business days are considered
The active month contract changes according to CME specifications three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month

Edge cases & clarifications:

Pyth Data Unavailability: If Pyth data is unavailable due to technical issues, the official daily high/low price published by CME Group for the Active Month contract will be used to determine if the threshold was reached
Contract Specification Changes: In the event of contract specification changes or feed modifications, resolution will be based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth

Timing: Resolution occurs after August 2026, once all trading sessions for that month have completed and data verification is possibleOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in August 2026?

Kalshi

Each market resolves based on whether the daily settlement price for the WTI crude oil October 2026 contract on August 17, 2026, exceeds a specified threshold. Settlement uses the nearest listed contract month, rolling forward to the next contract two business days before the current contract's last trading day. Prices are rounded to the nearest two decimal places, and if data is unavailable for the specified date, the most recently published data is used for resolution.

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What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in August 2026?

Frequently asked questions

Several signals could shift odds in this market before resolution, including OPEC+ production decisions, geopolitical tensions in major oil-producing regions, unexpected storage reports, and macroeconomic shifts affecting energy demand. Natural disasters, pipeline disruptions, or sudden changes in U.S. inventory levels may also influence trader sentiment. Additionally, shifts in global economic growth forecasts or energy policy announcements could cause rapid repricing as participants adjust their expectations for August 2026.

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in August 2026?

Markets

Description

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Core resolution logic:

Edge cases & clarifications:

View full platform rules

Polymarket

Kalshi

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Frequently asked questions