TOTAL VOLUME:

$115.9b

24H VOL:

$90,087,139

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,351,118,393

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,131,582,423

316,324

Markets across

30,916

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

3,401

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

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What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in August 2026?
Other
polymarket
kalshi
predict

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in August 2026?

Total volume:
$10,288,075
Volume 24h:
$1,552,933
332%
Liquidity:
$1,815,682
2%
Open interest:
$395,210
127%

↓ $30

all

2 markets

Predict

99.9%

Polymarket

0.1%

consensus

50%

+0%

spread

0.1-99.9%

(99.8pp)

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

0%20%40%60%80%

Aug 17

Aug 19

Aug 20

Aug 21

Aug 22

Aug 23

Aug 24

Vol.

$8.6k

·

Resolves Sep 1, 2026

Time left: 07d:10h:18m

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in August?

100%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
predict

Trade on Predict

At 99.9¢ buys you 100 shares | Odds: 100% Total Payout: $100 | Net Profit: $0 Multiplier: 1.00x | ROI: 0.1% | APY: 5% Low liquidity 7 days to resolution
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 0.1¢ buys you 100,000 shares | Odds: 0% Total Payout: $100,000 | Net Profit: $99,900 Multiplier: 1000.00x | ROI: 99,900% APY not meaningful 7 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result

Intro

This market tracks whether WTI Crude Oil prices will reach $110 during any trading session in August 2026. The aggregated consensus probability for this outcome is 99.8% across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Predict. Resolution is based on Pyth's Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures data, with CME Group daily prices as backup. Watch the trading sessions throughout August 2026 for any price movements that could trigger resolution.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms use identical price threshold logic based on Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures trading sessions in August 2026, with Pyth as the primary data source and CME Group as the fallback.Primary resolution logic: Pyth (Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures 1-minute candles) with CME Group daily prices as backup

Core resolution logic:

  • Market resolves to Yes if any 1-minute candle's high (for ↑ markets) or low (for ↓ markets) reaches or exceeds the listed price during any trading session in August 2026
  • Market resolves to No if the Active Month contract does not trade at all during August 2026
  • Only prices achieved during applicable trading sessions on business days are considered
  • The active month contract changes according to CME specifications three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Pyth Data Unavailability: If Pyth data is unavailable due to technical issues, the official daily high/low price published by CME Group for the Active Month contract will be used to determine if the threshold was reached
  • Contract Specification Changes: In the event of contract specification changes or feed modifications, resolution will be based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth
Timing: Resolution occurs after August 2026, once all trading sessions for that month have completed and data verification is possibleOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Show more

Polymarket

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in August 2026?

Kalshi

Each market resolves based on whether the daily settlement price for the WTI crude oil October 2026 contract on August 17, 2026, exceeds a specified threshold. Settlement uses the nearest listed contract month, rolling forward to the next contract two business days before the current contract's last trading day. Prices are rounded to the nearest two decimal places, and if data is unavailable for the specified date, the most recently published data is used for resolution.

Predict

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in August 2026?

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the WTI Crude Oil August 2026 market aggregates data across multiple prediction venues, showing real-time odds, volume, and consensus for whether WTI crude will hit specific price points by the end of August 2026. It pulls in trading activity from Polymarket and Predict to give a unified view of market sentiment. With a total volume of $9,744,392 and 24-hour volume at $739,815, the dashboard reflects how traders across platforms are positioning themselves ahead of the Sep 1, 2026 resolution date.

Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict can vary due to differences in user bases, liquidity, and how each platform structures its betting contracts. Polymarket currently favors Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? at 32.5%, while Predict leans toward Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in August? at 99.9%. Factors such as varying trader demographics, regional news coverage, and distinct market design choices all contribute to the spread of 67.4 between the two venues.

This market resolves around Sep 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Traders will watch official oil price data releases and market-closing valuations for August 2026 to determine whether the conditions are met. The result hinges on whether WTI crude trades at or above the specified thresholds during the defined period, as reported by widely recognized sources.

Several signals could shift odds in this market before resolution, including OPEC+ production decisions, geopolitical tensions in major oil-producing regions, unexpected storage reports, and macroeconomic shifts affecting energy demand. Natural disasters, pipeline disruptions, or sudden changes in U.S. inventory levels may also influence trader sentiment. Additionally, shifts in global economic growth forecasts or energy policy announcements could cause rapid repricing as participants adjust their expectations for August 2026.