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What will the biggest earthquake be on Sep 8, 2026?
kalshi

What will the biggest earthquake be on Sep 8, 2026?

Volume:
$1,525

Magnitude of at least 5.4

 - Kalshi

Magnitude of at least 5.4 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 9, 2026

Closed: Sep 8, 7:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Magnitude of at least 5.4

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,137
N/A
N/A
$1,137
Settled
No
kalshi

Magnitude of at least 6.2

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$144
N/A
N/A
$144
Settled
No
kalshi

Magnitude of at least 5.6

View
0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$121
N/A
N/A
$69
Settled
No
kalshi

Magnitude of at least 6.0

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$87
N/A
N/A
$67
Settled
No
kalshi

Magnitude of at least 5.8

View
0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$36
N/A
N/A
$36
Settled
No
kalshi

Magnitude of at least 5.2

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Magnitude of at least 6.4

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Magnitude of at least 6.6

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Magnitude of at least 6.8

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Magnitude of at least 7.0

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Description

This event tracks whether a significant earthquake will occur on a specific date. It focuses on the maximum seismic activity reported globally during that day, measured by magnitude. The outcome depends on whether any earthquake reaches or exceeds certain strength thresholds.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on whether the highest magnitude earthquake reported by the USGS worldwide on September 8, 2026, between midnight and just before midnight UTC, meets or exceeds the specified threshold. The magnitude used for resolution is the USGS-reported value at expiration, with moment magnitude (Mw) preferred when available. If multiple earthquakes share the highest magnitude, all qualify. If USGS ComCat data is unavailable at expiration, settlement may be delayed under contract contingencies. Each market corresponds to a different magnitude threshold, ranging from 5.2 to 7.0, with higher thresholds representing more severe earthquake requirements.