TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of October 5 2026?
limitless

What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of October 5 2026?

Volume:
$39

↑ $770

 - Limitless

↑ $770 - Limitless

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 9, 2026

Closed: Oct 9, 4:00 PM EST

limitless

Limitless

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
limitless

↑ $770

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$38
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
limitless

↓ $735

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

↑ $800

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

↑ $795

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

↑ $790

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

↑ $785

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

↑ $780

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
limitless

↑ $775

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
limitless

↓ $765

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

↓ $760

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

↓ $755

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

↓ $750

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

↓ $745

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

↓ $740

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 14

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during the week of October 5 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000) If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.

Limitless

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during the week of October 5 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000) If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.

Frequently asked questions

On Limitless, the dashboard for the S&P 500 October 2026 market displays the current implied probability of the index reaching various price levels as determined by traders’ buy and sell orders. You’ll find a price history chart illustrating how these probabilities have shifted over time. The dashboard also shows the current 24-hour volume, which is currently unknown, and the total volume traded to date, which is $1. This provides a real-time view of market sentiment surrounding the future value of the S&P 500.

Currently, prediction market odds reflect a collective forecast for the S&P 500 in October 2026 that may differ from those found in traditional financial polls or analyst reports. These alternative forecasts often incorporate a wider range of information and perspectives than standard surveys. While analysts may focus on fundamental economic indicators, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, potentially capturing unforeseen risks or opportunities. It’s important to remember that prediction markets represent a probabilistic view of the future, not a definitive prediction.

On Limitless, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders can buy 'yes' shares if they believe the S&P 500 will be above a certain level in October 2026, or sell 'no' shares if they believe it will be below that level. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, creating an implied probability distribution for the index’s future value. The current volume of $1 suggests moderate interest in this market, and traders are actively adjusting their positions based on new information and evolving expectations.

This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the closing price of the S&P 500 index on the Friday of that week. The market will determine whether the index reaches the specified price level, and payouts will be issued accordingly to those who correctly predicted the outcome. Traders should monitor news and economic data leading up to this date for potential market-moving events.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market between now and its resolution. Major economic data releases, such as inflation reports, GDP growth figures, and employment numbers, will likely influence trader sentiment. Geopolitical events, unexpected policy changes by the Federal Reserve, and significant corporate earnings reports could also trigger price swings. Furthermore, any unforeseen global crises or major shifts in investor risk appetite could have a substantial impact on the S&P 500 and, consequently, on this market.