TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of October 26 2026?
limitless

What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of October 26 2026?

Volume:
$153

↓ $755

 - Limitless

↓ $755 - Limitless

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 30, 2026

Closed: Oct 30, 4:00 PM EST

limitless

Limitless

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
limitless

↓ $755

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$144
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
limitless

↓ $760

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
limitless

↑ $770

View
100%
30%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
limitless

↑ $775

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

↓ $745

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

↑ $780

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

↑ $795

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

↑ $790

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

↑ $785

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

↑ $765

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
limitless

↓ $750

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

↓ $740

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

↓ $735

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

↓ $730

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 14

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during the week of October 26 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000) If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.

Limitless

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during the week of October 26 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000) If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.

Frequently asked questions

Currently, prediction market odds reflect a range of expectations for the S&P 500 in October 2026, often differing from those found in traditional polls or analyst forecasts. While polls might capture general sentiment, this market aggregates the informed opinions of individuals with skin in the game, incentivized to accurately predict the future price. This can lead to a more nuanced and potentially more accurate view of likely outcomes, as traders are actively evaluating and updating their beliefs based on new information. The collective wisdom expressed in this market often provides a valuable counterpoint to conventional wisdom.

On Limitless, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing different S&P 500 price levels. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of traders about the probability of that price being reached. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence traders have in their predictions, with higher volume generally suggesting greater conviction. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market efficiently incorporates new information as it becomes available.

This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the S&P 500’s closing price during the week of October 26, 2026 is verifiable from credible public reporting. The specific price level that corresponds to the winning outcome will be determined by standard financial data sources. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final price and their positions in this market. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the outcome.

Numerous signals and events could significantly move this market between now and its resolution. Major economic indicators like inflation rates, GDP growth, and unemployment figures will be closely watched. Geopolitical events, such as international conflicts or trade negotiations, could also have a substantial impact. Furthermore, changes in monetary policy by the Federal Reserve, unexpected corporate earnings reports, and even shifts in investor sentiment could all cause the price of contracts in this market to fluctuate. Any news that alters the perceived trajectory of the U.S. economy or corporate profitability is likely to influence trading activity.