TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of October 19 2026?
limitless

What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of October 19 2026?

Volume:
$259

↓ $760

 - Limitless

↓ $760 - Limitless

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 23, 2026

Closed: Oct 23, 4:00 PM EST

limitless

Limitless

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
limitless

↓ $760

View
100%
27%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
limitless

↓ $755

View
0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$240
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

↑ $775

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

↑ $795

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

↑ $790

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

↑ $785

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

↑ $780

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

↑ $770

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
limitless

↑ $765

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
limitless

↓ $750

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

↓ $745

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

↓ $740

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

↓ $735

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

↓ $730

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 14

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during the week of October 19 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000) If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.

Limitless

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during the week of October 19 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000) If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.

Frequently asked questions

Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional spot price expectations. Polls and analyst forecasts typically focus on short-term trends and readily available data, while this market incorporates a wider range of information and potential future events. The aggregated wisdom of traders on Limitless can sometimes anticipate shifts in sentiment or uncover overlooked factors influencing the S&P 500. This divergence can be valuable for gaining a more nuanced understanding of potential outcomes and assessing the range of possible scenarios.

On Limitless, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the S&P 500’s value in October 2026. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability distribution of potential outcomes. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the collective judgment of all participants, and changes as new information becomes available or sentiment shifts. This dynamic pricing allows for a constantly updated assessment of the market’s expectations.

This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final price of the S&P 500 during the week of October 19, 2026, will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Traders who accurately predicted the S&P 500’s performance will receive a payout based on the market’s pricing at the time of their trade. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the outcome, based on widely accepted financial data.

Numerous signals and events could significantly move this market before Oct 23, 2026. Major economic indicators such as inflation rates, interest rate decisions by the Federal Reserve, and employment data will all play a role. Geopolitical events, unexpected corporate earnings reports, and shifts in investor confidence can also cause substantial price fluctuations. Any news impacting the overall health of the US economy or the financial sector is likely to influence trading activity and the perceived probability of different S&P 500 values in October 2026.