TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 2:17 PM EST
Polymarket
MrBeast releases videos on https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mr Beast says the listed term during the next video he releases on YouTube. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If no such video is posted by MrBeast by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the released video from (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast). Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
MrBeast releases videos on https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mr Beast says the listed term during the next video he releases on YouTube. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If no such video is posted by MrBeast by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the released video from (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast). Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
On Polymarket, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. As more shares are purchased for a specific outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher probability. Conversely, selling shares decreases the price. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring, allowing traders to express their views and profit from correctly anticipating what MrBeast will say.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on a transcript or official caption of MrBeast’s next YouTube video released after the market’s launch. The outcome will be determined by whether the predicted phrase or statement was uttered by MrBeast during that video. The market will then settle based on which outcome aligns with the verified content.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any official announcements from MrBeast or his team regarding the content of his next video would be a major catalyst. Leaks or credible rumors about the video’s theme or planned challenges could also shift probabilities. Furthermore, trending topics or current events that align with MrBeast’s past content could influence trader sentiment and move the market. Unexpected collaborations or guest appearances teased by MrBeast could also cause substantial changes in the odds.