TOTAL VOLUME:

$148.5b

24H VOL:

$251,213,730

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,817,056,367

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,881,733,699

461,443

Markets across

35,077

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,846

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit Week of October 5 2026?
polymarket
limitless

What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit Week of October 5 2026?

Total volume:
$52,724
Volume 24h:
$15,070
31%
Liquidity:
$0
100%
Open interest:
$16,815N/A

↑ $4,200

all

2 markets

Limitless

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Closed: Oct 9, 5:00 PM EST

limitless

Limitless

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
limitless

↑ $4,200

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↑ $4,200

View
100%
78%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
—
N/A
$9,039
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↓ $4,100

View
100%
43%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
—
N/A
$4,949
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
limitless

↓ $4,100

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↑ $4,150

View
100%
15%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
—
N/A
$3,325
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↓ $4,150

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
—
N/A
$1,572
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↑ $4,150

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
—
N/A
$1,514
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↑ $4,150

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
—
N/A
$424
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
limitless

↑ $4,150

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↑ $4,200

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
—
N/A
$351
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↓ $4,050

View
0%
8%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,624
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

↓ $4,050

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↑ $4,250

View
0%
4%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,989
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

↑ $4,250

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↓ $4,100

View
0%
39%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,532
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↓ $4,000

View
0%
3%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,320
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

↓ $4,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↓ $3,950

View
0%
3%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,554
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

↓ $3,950

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↑ $4,300

View
0%
4%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,443
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

↑ $4,300

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↑ $4,350

View
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,152
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

↑ $4,350

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↓ $3,900

View
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,884
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

↓ $3,900

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 34

Description

This prediction group asks forecasters to predict whether the price of Gold (XAUUSD) will reach specific high or low values during the week of October 5, 2026. Markets are structured as binary 'hit/no-hit' questions for each price level.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Limitless markets utilize identical resolution logic, relying on Pyth data for price determination and defining the same trading session window.Primary resolution logic: Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is based on whether any 1-minute candle during the specified week reaches or exceeds the target price.
  • Prices are sourced directly from Pyth without rounding.
  • The trading session is defined as 6:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday.
  • If Pyth data is unavailable, CME COMEX futures data will be used.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • No Trading: If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the specified timeframe, all markets will resolve to 'No'.
  • Data Modification: In the event of a contract specification change or feed change affecting the market, resolution will be based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
Timing: Resolution will occur after the conclusion of the trading session on Friday, October 9, 2026, once the 1-minute candle data from Pyth (or CME COMEX futures data if Pyth is unavailable) has been verified.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit Week of October 5 2026?

Limitless

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of the week of October 5 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Limitless, this market dashboard tracks predictions on whether the price of Gold (XAUUSD) will reach a specific level during the week of October 5, 2026. Currently, the consensus view across these platforms shows a strong inclination towards a higher price point. The total volume traded across both platforms is $52,718, with $8,456 changing hands in the last 24 hours. This indicates significant interest in forecasting the future price of gold. The dashboard provides a consolidated view of probabilities and trading activity for the Gold (XAUUSD) market.

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often provide a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. Analysts typically base their predictions on fundamental and technical analysis, while prediction markets aggregate the wisdom of the crowd. This collective intelligence can sometimes outperform individual expert opinions. Discrepancies may arise due to differing methodologies, biases, or access to information. It's valuable to consider both prediction market probabilities and analyst forecasts when forming a comprehensive view of potential outcomes for the Gold (XAUUSD) market.