TOTAL VOLUME:

$147.3b

24H VOL:

$170,905,963

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,798,566,680

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,803,744,107

514,540

Markets across

38,061

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,839

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit Week of October 26 2026?
🌟New
limitless
polymarket

What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit Week of October 26 2026?

Oct 23, 2026, 6:01 PM EST - Oct 30, 2026, 5:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$0
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
$29
0%
Open interest:
N/AN/A

↑ $4,300

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Limitless

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Oct 30, 2026

Time left: 06d:22h:06m

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 Week of October 26 2026?

98%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 98¢ buys you 102 shares | Odds: 98% Total Payout: $102 | Net Profit: $2 Multiplier: 1.02x | ROI: 2% | APY: 187% Low liquidity 6 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

↑ $4,300

Trade
98%
Yes 98¢No 96¢
94¢
$2
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
6d 22h 6m
active
limitless

↑ $4,300

Trade
N/A
N/A
0¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
6d 22h 6m
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 47¢Max: 94¢
polymarket

↑ $4,250

Trade
98%
Yes 98¢No 96¢
94¢
$2
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
6d 22h 6m
active
limitless

↑ $4,250

Trade
N/A
N/A
0¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
6d 22h 6m
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 47¢Max: 94¢
polymarket

↑ $4,200

Trade
98%
Yes 98¢No 96¢
94¢
$2
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
6d 22h 6m
active
limitless

↑ $4,200

Trade
N/A
N/A
0¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
6d 22h 6m
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 47¢Max: 94¢
polymarket

↑ $4,150

Trade
98%
Yes 98¢No 96¢
94¢
$2
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
6d 22h 6m
active
limitless

↑ $4,150

Trade
N/A
N/A
0¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
6d 22h 6m
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 47¢Max: 94¢
polymarket

↑ $4,100

Trade
98%
Yes 98¢No 96¢
94¢
$2
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
6d 22h 6m
active
limitless

↑ $4,100

Trade
N/A
N/A
0¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
6d 22h 6m
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 47¢Max: 94¢
polymarket

↑ $4,050

Trade
98%
Yes 98¢No 96¢
94¢
$2
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
6d 22h 6m
active
limitless

↑ $4,050

Trade
N/A
N/A
0¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
6d 22h 6m
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 47¢Max: 94¢
polymarket

↑ $4,000

Trade
98%
Yes 98¢No 96¢
94¢
$2
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
6d 22h 6m
active
limitless

↑ $4,000

Trade
N/A
N/A
0¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
6d 22h 6m
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 47¢Max: 94¢
polymarket

↓ $3,950

Trade
98%
Yes 98¢No 96¢
94¢
$2
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
6d 22h 6m
active
limitless

↓ $3,950

Trade
N/A
N/A
0¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
6d 22h 6m
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 47¢Max: 94¢
polymarket

↓ $3,900

Trade
98%
Yes 98¢No 96¢
94¢
$2
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
6d 22h 6m
active
limitless

↓ $3,900

Trade
N/A
N/A
0¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
6d 22h 6m
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 47¢Max: 94¢
polymarket

↓ $3,850

Trade
98%
Yes 98¢No 96¢
94¢
$2
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
6d 22h 6m
active
limitless

↓ $3,850

Trade
N/A
N/A
0¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
6d 22h 6m
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 47¢Max: 94¢
polymarket

↓ $3,800

Trade
98%
Yes 98¢No 96¢
94¢
$2
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
6d 22h 6m
active
limitless

↓ $3,800

Trade
N/A
N/A
0¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
6d 22h 6m
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 47¢Max: 94¢
polymarket

↓ $3,750

Trade
98%
Yes 98¢No 96¢
94¢
$2
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
6d 22h 6m
active
limitless

↓ $3,750

Trade
N/A
N/A
0¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
6d 22h 6m
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 47¢Max: 94¢
polymarket

↓ $3,700

Trade
98%
Yes 98¢No 97¢
95¢
$2
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
6d 22h 6m
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 95¢Max: 95¢
Total markets: 25 of 28

Description

This group of markets asks forecasters to predict whether Gold (XAUUSD) will reach specific high or low price levels during the week of October 26, 2026. The resolution hinges on whether a 1-minute candle for Gold touches or exceeds these prices, as reported by Pyth, during standard trading hours.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms define resolution based on the same criteria: a 1-minute candle's high or low reaching or exceeding a specified price during the week of October 26, 2026, using Pyth data.Primary resolution logic: Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is determined by whether any 1-minute candle during the trading week of October 26, 2026, has a final High or Low price equal to or beyond the listed price.
  • Trading sessions are defined as 6:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except for holiday or special-session hours.
  • Prices are taken directly from Pyth without rounding.
  • If Pyth data is unavailable, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract (GC) will be used.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • No Trading: If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed timeframe, all markets will resolve to "No".
  • Pyth Data Failure: If Pyth data is unavailable, the CME COMEX futures contract (GC) data will be used as a fallback.
  • Contract Specification Change: In the event of a contract specification change or feed change, resolution will be based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
Timing: Resolution will occur after the conclusion of the trading week of October 26, 2026, once the relevant 1-minute candle data from Pyth (or CME COMEX futures data if Pyth is unavailable) has been verified.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit Week of October 26 2026?

Limitless

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of the week of October 26 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds often provide a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. Analysts may be influenced by biases or institutional pressures, while this market reflects the aggregated opinions of a diverse group of traders with skin in the game. While analyst forecasts can be valuable, the real-time price discovery in this market can offer a more dynamic and potentially accurate signal. Discrepancies can arise from differing methodologies, information access, and the incentive structure inherent in prediction markets, where accuracy directly translates to profit.

This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final price of Gold (XAUUSD) during the specified week will be assessed against publicly available financial data. The resolution will reflect the prevailing market price at the close of trading on the final day of the resolution window. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the outcome, based on widely recognized financial benchmarks.

Several macroeconomic and geopolitical events could significantly impact this market. Unexpected changes in interest rates, inflation data, or global economic growth forecasts could drive substantial price movements in gold. Geopolitical instability, such as major conflicts or trade wars, often leads to increased demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. Central bank policies regarding gold reserves and currency fluctuations also play a crucial role. Furthermore, major shifts in investor sentiment or significant news regarding gold mining production could influence trading activity and shift the probabilities in this market.