TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
What will Elon post this week? (August 10 - August 16)
polymarket
predict

What will Elon post this week? (August 10 - August 16)

Volume:
$9,980

Tesla

 - Polymarket

Tesla - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 17, 2026

Closed: Aug 11, 4:43 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Tesla

View
100%
9%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$342
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

0-5

View
50%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
—
$45
$3,696
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

26-30

View
1%
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$21
$1,980
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

16-20

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$18
$201
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

21-25

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$21
$201
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Iran / Iranian

View
0%
94%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
4.8¢
N/A
$1,141
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Tweak

View
0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$579
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Sam / Altman

View
0%
33%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$528
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency

View
0%
93%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$458
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

ChatGPT

View
0%
94%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$413
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Texas

View
0%
96%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
0.9¢
N/A
$210
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Video game / Videogame

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$144
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Trump

View
0%
98%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$56
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Deport / Deported

View
0%
98%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$31
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

6-10

View
N/A
N/A
—
$45
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

11-15

View
N/A
N/A
—
$2,000
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

31-35

View
N/A
N/A
—
$21
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

36-40

View
N/A
N/A
—
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

41+

View
N/A
N/A
—
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 19

Description

This event group tracks whether Elon Musk will post specific terms on his verified X account (@elonmusk) during the week of August 10-16, 2026, and also includes a separate market tracking the number of tweets posted by CZ (@cz_binance) during August 10-17, 2026.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All markets share consistent resolution logic regarding post verification, date windows, and content qualifications across platformsPrimary resolution logic: X platform (via account activity and official trackers like predict.fun/x/cz_binance)

Core resolution logic:

  • Posts must originate from the verified account specified in each market (@elonmusk or @cz_binance)
  • Date windows are strictly enforced: August 10-16 for Elon Musk markets (12:00 AM ET to 11:59 PM ET) and August 10-17 for CZ markets (12:00 PM ET to 12:00 PM ET exclusive)
  • Text must contain the exact term (with allowed variations for plurals/possessives and case) — misspellings, compound words, and media other than static images do not qualify
  • Replies and quote posts count only if the entire chain originates from the tracked account
  • Deleted posts count if captured before deletion

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Static image text: Words spelled out in non-animated images qualify if clearly visible; animated media does not
  • Reply chain validity: Only reply chains entirely originating from the tracked account count — replies to others' reposts do not
  • Post edits: Edited posts count as new posts and are included in totals
Timing: Resolution occurs after August 16, 2026 (for Elon Musk markets) and August 17, 2026 (for CZ markets) when all posts within the specified windows have been verifiedOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if @elonmusk posts the listed term between August 10, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts and reposts will not count. Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.) Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count. Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution. Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). The resolution source for this market will be Elon Musk's verified X account: @elonmusk Please note, only the @elonmusk verified X account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Elon Musk posts from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.

Predict

This market will resolve according to the number of times [@cz_binance](https://x.com/cz_binance) posts on X from Aug 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET to Aug 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET (exclusive). **Date Range (Exclusive):** Tweets up to the last second before the end date will count. For example, if the market ends at 12:00 PM ET, any tweet up to 11:59:59 AM ET will count, but tweets at or after 12:00:00 PM ET will not count. **Posts That Count:** - Main feed posts - Quote posts - Reposts **Replies:** Requirements for rules to count: - The entire "reply chain" all the way up to the original post MUST belong to the tracked user. - Replies to reposts only count IF the original post is from the same user. Replies to reposts of other users' posts do not count. **Examples:** - Reply to own quote post that counts: [x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785](https://x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785) - Reply on main feed that counts: [x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576) - Reply chain that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133) - Reply to repost from different user that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450) **Additional Rules:** - Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker - Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker will not count toward the total - Post edits are treated by X as new posts and thus count toward the total **Resolution Source:** The main resolution source for this market will be the 'Tweet Counter' figure for posts found at [predict.fun/x/cz_binance](https://predict.fun/x/cz_binance). If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Elon Musk weekly post market aggregates activity across multiple venues, showing real-time consensus and volume. It displays current probabilities, total volume of $9,980, and 24-hour volume at $2,835. This view lets participants see how the market evolves as new information emerges, highlighting shifts in trader sentiment toward whether Elon Musk will post during the week.