TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$143,246,370
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,403,290,006
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,452,035,386
405,032
Markets across
30,543
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,690
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 4, 4:58 PM EST
Polymarket
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 4, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 4, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Compared to analyst forecasts, this market often reflects a more immediate, crowd-sourced view of viewer behavior. Analysts may weigh factors like release timing and genre trends, while traders in this market react to real-time streaming data, social media buzz, and weekly viewership spikes. Because of that, odds can diverge sharply from traditional forecasts, especially when a new film gains surprise popularity.
This market resolves around Aug 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning title will be the one that appears in the top spot on Netflix’s official US movie rankings for that week, as reported by trusted industry sources and the platform itself.