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What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season?
polymarket

What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season?

Volume:
$83,222

Isaias

 - Polymarket

Isaias - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 8, 2026

Closed: Oct 8, 12:42 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Isaias

View
100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10,111
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 6d 14h
Yes
polymarket

Fay

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,677
N/A
N/A
N/A
4w 21h
No
polymarket

Other

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,920
N/A
N/A
N/A
4w 1d 1h
No
polymarket

Edouard

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,501
N/A
N/A
N/A
4w 21h
No
polymarket

Gonzalo

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,292
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 6d 14h
No
polymarket

Hanna

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,796
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 6d 14h
No
polymarket

Cristobal

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,555
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 6d 14h
No
polymarket

Dolly

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,550
N/A
N/A
N/A
4w 21h
No
polymarket

Josephine

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,187
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 6d 14h
No
polymarket

Kyle

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,349
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 6d 14h
No
polymarket

Nana

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,070
N/A
N/A
N/A
4w 21h
No
polymarket

Paulette

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,455
N/A
N/A
N/A
4w 21h
No
polymarket

Marco

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,424
N/A
N/A
N/A
4w 21h
No
polymarket

Omar

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,106
N/A
N/A
N/A
4w 21h
No
polymarket

Leah

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,948
N/A
N/A
N/A
4w 21h
No
polymarket

Vicky

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$728
N/A
N/A
N/A
4w 21h
No
polymarket

Teddy

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$701
N/A
N/A
N/A
4w 21h
No
polymarket

Wilfred

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$650
N/A
N/A
N/A
4w 21h
No
polymarket

Rene

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$618
N/A
N/A
N/A
4w 21h
No
polymarket

Sally

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$584
N/A
N/A
N/A
4w 21h
No
Total markets: 20

Description

This market will resolve according to the name of the first named storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic from the creation of this market through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET. If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET, then this market resolves to "Other". A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php. A tropical storm will not qualify as a hurricane even if it is named. All names are from the NHC list of 2026 Atlantic Names (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutnames.shtml). This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the name of the first named storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic from the creation of this market through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET. If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET, then this market resolves to "Other". A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php. A tropical storm will not qualify as a hurricane even if it is named. All names are from the NHC list of 2026 Atlantic Names (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutnames.shtml). This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, this dashboard tracks the latest odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $7,336 for the 2026 Atlantic hurricane name market. It shows how traders are betting on which name will be assigned to the first Atlantic hurricane of the 2026 season, reflecting real-time market sentiment and liquidity of $83,222.

Currently, this market’s odds differ from many analyst forecasts, which often rely on historical storm patterns and seasonal predictions. Traders on Polymarket may be pricing in additional risk factors or recent climate data trends that aren’t fully reflected in traditional models, leading to a potential edge for market-based insights over static expert opinions.

This market resolves around Dec 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official name assigned by the National Hurricane Center to the first Atlantic hurricane of the 2026 season will settle all positions, ending speculation and locking in results for all participants.

Key signals that could shift this market include early-season tropical disturbances, updated seasonal forecasts from meteorological agencies, and any unusual climate patterns such as El Niño or La Niña developments. Breaking news on storm formation or changes to the hurricane naming list could also cause rapid price swings as traders adjust positions ahead of Dec 2, 2026.