TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
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What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
polymarket

What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

Volume:
$23,694

Ransom Canyon: Season 2

 - Polymarket

Ransom Canyon: Season 2 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 28, 2026

Closed: Jul 28, 6:04 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Ransom Canyon: Season 2

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$15,779
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

The Hawk: Season 1

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,806
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

The Ultimatum: Marry or Move On: Season 4

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,212
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

I Will Find You: Limited Series

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$743
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Avatar: The Last Airbender: Season 2

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$531
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Little House on the Prairie: Season 1

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$385
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Sesame Street Classics: Season 1

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$365
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

WWE: Unreal: Season 3

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$345
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Quarterback: Season 3

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$293
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Worst Neighbor Ever: Season 1

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$235
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Show A

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Show B

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Show C

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Show D

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Show E

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Show F

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Show G

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Other

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 18

Description

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, July 28, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix show. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Polymarket

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, July 28, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix show. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Frequently asked questions

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced assessment of viewer behavior. Analysts may weigh factors like release dates, marketing spend, and genre trends, but traders on Polymarket price in real-time signals such as social media buzz, streaming data leaks, and weekly viewership spikes. This can lead to notable differences — for example, a show with strong early momentum might see its odds rise sharply even if analysts remain cautious. Monitoring both sources helps identify potential shifts in public appetite before they’re widely reported.

This market resolves around Jul 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official Netflix rankings for that week will determine the #2 position, and the market will close based on that data. No internal platform mechanisms or arbitrary decisions are involved — the result hinges solely on publicly available viewing statistics from Netflix at the close of the tracking period.

Several signals could shift odds in this market before it resolves. Major marketing pushes, strong word-of-mouth on social platforms, or surprise drops of new episodes often cause rapid re-pricing. Conversely, negative buzz, competing releases, or technical issues like streaming errors can depress a show’s chances. Traders will also watch early weekly viewership snapshots, which sometimes leak ahead of official reports. Any development that changes public perception of viewer demand is likely to move prices on Polymarket as participants react in real time.