TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 28, 4:59 PM EST
Polymarket
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, July 28, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix movie. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, July 28, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix movie. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced view of viewer behavior. Analysts may weigh factors like release timing and genre trends, while traders react to real-time streaming data, social media buzz, and weekly viewing spikes. This can lead to divergence, especially when a surprise hit gains traction outside of pre-release expectations.
This market resolves around Jul 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official Netflix rankings for that week will determine the #2 movie, and the market will close shortly after the data is publicly released and immutable.
Key signals that could shift odds include weekly streaming updates, social media trends, major publicity pushes from studios, and unexpected surges in viewership from competing titles. Any last-minute marketing campaigns or viral moments in the days before the ranking snapshot could dramatically alter trader expectations and move this market sharply before it settles.