TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 28, 6:01 PM EST
Polymarket
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, July 28, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix movie. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, July 28, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix movie. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Currently, this market’s implied probability—derived from trader activity—may diverge from traditional analyst forecasts. Analysts often weigh factors like viewership trends, release timing, and competitive releases differently than traders, who react to real-time sentiment and betting patterns. Monitoring shifts in this market can reveal emerging consensus that isn’t yet reflected in expert reports, offering a complementary perspective on which film might claim the #2 spot globally.
This market resolves around Jul 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final ranking will be determined by Netflix’s official global streaming data for that week, and the contract representing the correct film will settle as the winning position. Until then, traders can adjust positions based on early indicators and buzz.
Key signals that could shift this market include major social media buzz, influencer endorsements, weekend release timing, or unexpected spikes in viewership for competing titles. Any last-minute changes in Netflix’s promotional push or competitor scheduling could also sway trader sentiment. Monitoring news feeds, trending topics, and viewership updates in the days leading to Jul 28, 2026 will help anticipate potential moves.