TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 10, 11:59 PM EST
Polymarket
The Lemonade Stand Podcast is scheduled to release episodes every Wednesday. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during the next released episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If clips of old episodes or prerecorded clips are aired where people are speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will count toward this market's resolution. Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). This market will resolve according to the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast posted on YouTube. Any video posted to the channel https://www.youtube.com/@LemonadeStandPodcast with the words "Lemonade Stand" in the title will qualify. If no such episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast is aired by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio of the event.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this event is priced through outcome shares that reflect trader belief in what will be said during the June 10 episode. Each potential statement or topic has an associated share price between 0 and 1 dollar, where higher prices indicate greater perceived likelihood. Traders buy and sell these shares based on their conviction, and the market price at any moment represents the collective probability estimate. Volume and liquidity on Polymarket determine how easily traders can enter or exit positions, influencing price stability and spread width around the true odds.
The market resolves on Jun 11, 2026, shortly after the June 10 Lemonade Stand Podcast episode airs. Resolution is determined by what is actually said during that episode. Traders must wait for the podcast to be published and reviewed to confirm which outcomes occurred. The specific resolution criteria depend on how each outcome is defined—whether it tracks exact phrases, topic discussions, guest announcements, or other content markers. Once the episode is available, the market settles based on whether the stated conditions were met.
Several factors could shift odds before June 10. Host social media announcements about episode guests or topics may influence trader expectations about what will be discussed. Pre-episode promotional content or guest confirmations could move probabilities for certain outcomes. Broader podcast industry news or trending topics relevant to Lemonade Stand's typical content could also affect pricing. Additionally, any public statements from hosts or producers hinting at episode themes would likely trigger trading activity. Real-time updates and community discussion on prediction market platforms themselves can amplify these signals as traders react to emerging information.