TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (May 29)
polymarket

What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (May 29)

Volume:
$11,720

Prediction

 - Polymarket

Prediction - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved May 30, 2026

Closed: May 28, 8:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Prediction

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$724
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

AI 45+ times

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
3.8¢
N/A
$711
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Constitution

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
70¢
N/A
$606
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Pope

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$499
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Cancer

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$411
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Insurance

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$384
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Innovation

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$365
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Anthropic 10+ times

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$317
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Closed source

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$270
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Middle East

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,215
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

European Union

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,064
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Civilization

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,038
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Macroeconomy

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$745
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Nvidia

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$423
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Disruptive

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$360
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Comparison

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$347
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Globalization

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$344
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Data Center 5+ times

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$330
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Biology

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$314
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Bitcoin

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$280
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Plastic

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$279
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

National Security

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$243
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Alignment

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$240
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Competent

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$214
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 24

Intro

This market tracks whether the word "Insurance" will be spoken at any point during the next episode of the All-In Podcast. On Polymarket, the leading outcome—that the term will be mentioned—stands at 89.0%. Resolution will be determined by audio from the episode as posted to the official All-In Podcast YouTube playlist, with any usage of the term counting regardless of context. Watch for the next episode release on Friday, May 29, 2026, which will serve as the resolution trigger for this market.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard tracks real-time odds and trading activity for the All-In Podcast event on Polymarket. It displays the current probability of the top outcome—whether 'AI' will be mentioned 45 or more times during the next episode—along with historical price movements and liquidity metrics. You can monitor $10,873 in 24-hour trading volume and total group volume of $11,720 to gauge market interest and confidence. The dashboard updates continuously as traders buy and sell shares, reflecting the collective prediction of the market in real time.

Prediction market odds on Polymarket represent crowdsourced expectations from active traders with real money at stake, which often differ from traditional analyst forecasts or casual polling. While analysts may rely on historical episode data or thematic trends, prediction markets aggregate dispersed information and incentivize accuracy through financial reward. The All-In Podcast market reflects traders' collective assessment of how frequently 'AI' will be mentioned, incorporating recent news, guest lineups, and market sentiment. This real-money mechanism typically produces more dynamic and responsive forecasts than static analyst estimates.

Several factors could shift market odds before May 29, 2026. Announcement of guest speakers—particularly AI researchers, tech executives, or policy figures—would likely increase expectations for 'AI' mentions. Major AI news events, product launches, or regulatory developments in the weeks leading up to the episode could also influence trader sentiment. Episode theme previews or social media hints from the hosts may signal the intended focus. Additionally, historical episode data showing frequency of 'AI' mentions could be cited by traders to adjust their positions. Real-time podcast listening during the episode itself will ultimately determine the final outcome.