TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 12, 11:59 PM EST
Polymarket
The All-In Podcast is scheduled to release episodes every Friday. (https://allin.com/episodes) This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during the next released episode of the All-In Podcast. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If clips of old episodes or prerecorded clips are aired where people are speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will count toward this market's resolution. Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). This market will resolve according to the next episode of the All-In Podcast added to the official YouTube playlist: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLn5MTSAqaf8peDZQ57QkJBzewJU1aUokl. Specials or other videos posted on the YouTube channel but not included on the All-In Podcast playlist will not be considered. If no such episode of the All-In Podcast is aired by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio of the event.
The All-In Podcast is scheduled to release episodes every Friday. (https://allin.com/episodes) This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during the next released episode of the All-In Podcast. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If clips of old episodes or prerecorded clips are aired where people are speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will count toward this market's resolution. Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). This market will resolve according to the next episode of the All-In Podcast added to the official YouTube playlist: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLn5MTSAqaf8peDZQ57QkJBzewJU1aUokl. Specials or other videos posted on the YouTube channel but not included on the All-In Podcast playlist will not be considered. If no such episode of the All-In Podcast is aired by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio of the event.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect real-time aggregated trader beliefs about podcast content, whereas traditional analyst forecasts or media commentary rely on historical episode patterns and host tendencies. Markets often price in broader information—recent news, guest announcements, and community discussion—faster than formal analyst reports. For this All-In episode, comparing market-implied probabilities to expert predictions about likely discussion topics can reveal whether traders are pricing in consensus expectations or contrarian views about what will actually be discussed.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, the market for what will be said on the June 12 All-In Podcast episode is priced using an automated market maker model where traders buy and sell shares representing each potential outcome. The top outcome—"Will 'Insurance' be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?"—reflects trader conviction through its implied probability. Prices adjust continuously as new trades execute, with liquidity and volume determining how sharply prices move in response to new information or shifting sentiment about podcast content.
The market resolves on Jun 13, 2026, shortly after the June 12 All-In Podcast episode airs. Resolution is determined by whether the specified phrase or topic is actually discussed during the live episode. Traders must monitor the broadcast to verify whether the outcome criteria are met. Once the episode concludes and the content is confirmed, the market settles based on what was verifiably said, and winning positions are credited with their payout.
Market odds could shift based on guest announcements, recent news cycles affecting All-In hosts, or community discussion predicting likely topics. If major market events, regulatory changes, or business news breaks before June 12, traders may adjust probabilities for whether "Insurance" or other key phrases will be discussed. Social media speculation, podcast preview clips, or host commentary on other platforms could also influence trader positioning. Real-time updates as the episode air date approaches typically drive final price movements.