TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 24, 8:26 PM EST
Polymarket
The All-In Podcast is scheduled to release episodes every Friday. (https://allin.com/episodes) This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during the next released episode of the All-In Podcast. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the next episode of the All-In Podcast added to the official YouTube playlist: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLn5MTSAqaf8peDZQ57QkJBzewJU1aUokl. Specials or other videos posted on the YouTube channel but not included on the All-In Podcast playlist will not be considered. If no such episode of the All-In Podcast is aired by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
The All-In Podcast is scheduled to release episodes every Friday. (https://allin.com/episodes) This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during the next released episode of the All-In Podcast. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the next episode of the All-In Podcast added to the official YouTube playlist: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLn5MTSAqaf8peDZQ57QkJBzewJU1aUokl. Specials or other videos posted on the YouTube channel but not included on the All-In Podcast playlist will not be considered. If no such episode of the All-In Podcast is aired by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts because they reflect real-money incentives rather than opinion surveys. In this market, traders stake capital on their predictions, creating a self-correcting mechanism where accurate forecasters profit and inaccurate ones lose money. Analysts may rely on historical patterns or expert judgment, while prediction markets incorporate live information and breaking developments. The odds here tend to update faster than formal forecasts, making them a useful benchmark for comparing market sentiment against expert consensus on what the All-In hosts will discuss.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader activity into real-time odds. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Shares representing each outcome trade continuously, and the current price reflects the cumulative bets of all participants. When traders buy shares predicting a topic will be mentioned, the price rises; when they sell, it falls. This mechanism ensures the odds always represent the marginal trader's belief, creating a transparent and liquid price discovery process for what will be said on the podcast.
This market resolves around Jul 24, 2026, after the next All-In Podcast episode airs. The outcome is determined by verifying what was actually said during the broadcast against credible public sources, including the episode recording and any official transcripts. Once the episode is available and the content can be confirmed, the market settles based on whether the predicted statements or topics were genuinely discussed. Traders should monitor the episode release closely to understand how their positions will be adjudicated.
Several factors could shift odds before the episode airs. Major news events or market developments could influence what the hosts choose to discuss, prompting traders to adjust their positions. Podcast scheduling changes or guest announcements might hint at upcoming topics. Social media discussions or prior episodes can signal recurring themes. Additionally, any public statements from the All-In hosts about upcoming episodes could reshape expectations. As the air date approaches, increased trading activity often reflects growing confidence or uncertainty, so watch for volume spikes and price momentum as potential signals of shifting sentiment.