TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 21, 8:25 AM EST
Polymarket
Episode 9 of President Curtis Season 1 is scheduled to air on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if anyone says the listed term during the specified episode of President Curtis. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Terms audible in background music will not be considered toward the resolution of this market, neither will terms said within a "previously on" recap or "next time on" preview segment. If this episode of President Curtis has not been released in its entirety by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has been released up to that point. If no episode has been released by this time, or if the release is otherwise definitively cancelled, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the initial release of the named episode of President Curtis. Reruns, re-releases, or transcripts which differ from the initially released episode will not be considered. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Episode 9 of President Curtis Season 1 is scheduled to air on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if anyone says the listed term during the specified episode of President Curtis. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Terms audible in background music will not be considered toward the resolution of this market, neither will terms said within a "previously on" recap or "next time on" preview segment. If this episode of President Curtis has not been released in its entirety by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has been released up to that point. If no episode has been released by this time, or if the release is otherwise definitively cancelled, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the initial release of the named episode of President Curtis. Reruns, re-releases, or transcripts which differ from the initially released episode will not be considered. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals how collective intelligence stacks up against expert opinion. For this market, the current implied probabilities reflect what traders believe is most likely to be said during the episode, potentially differing from pre-episode predictions made by television critics or commentators. It’s common to see discrepancies, as markets incorporate a wider range of information and perspectives than individual analyses. This comparison highlights the wisdom of the crowd and whether the market anticipates any surprises in the President Curtis dialogue.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in whether a specific statement will be made. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price fluctuates based on new information and trader sentiment, providing a dynamic assessment of the likelihood of different dialogue options. Higher volume generally indicates stronger conviction and more active trading around particular outcomes.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will depend on a review of the official transcript or recording of the ninth episode of President Curtis: Season 1. The market will determine which statements were actually uttered by characters within the episode, and the outcome will be based on that verified record. Traders should monitor for official announcements regarding the episode's release to understand the timing of resolution.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before resolution. Any official teasers, trailers, or promotional materials released by the show's creators could provide clues about the upcoming dialogue and influence trading activity. Major news events or social media discussions related to the show's themes might also shift sentiment. Unexpected cast announcements or changes in the episode's plot could also cause price fluctuations. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the likely content of the ninth episode has the potential to impact this market.